Javier Reyes · KXUFCFIGHT-26JUN27OFLREY
Javier Reyes is priced at 61¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 60¢ bid, 61¢ ask, 1¢ spread. This outcome ranks #1 of 2 inside KXUFCFIGHT-26JUN27OFLREY.
Price history
61¢ current
+4¢Contract brief
If Javier Reyes wins the Ofli vs Reyes professional MMA fight originally scheduled for Jun 27, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Javier Reyes
Rank
#1 of 2
Leader
Javier Reyes 60¢
Range
38¢-60¢
Family volume
$2K
Identifier
KXUFCFIGHT-26JUN27OFLREY-REY
Jun 25, 2026, 3:08 PM UTC · 2m ago
Implied probability
Bid
60¢
Ask
61¢
Spread
1¢
24h volume
$706
Family rank
#1 of 2
2 outcomes · KXUFCFIGHT-26JUN27OFLREY
Closes
Jul 11, 2026
Family volume
$2K
Orderbook snapshot
60 / 61¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If Javier Reyes wins the Ofli vs Reyes professional MMA fight originally scheduled for Jun 27, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Jul 11, 2026
Identifier
KXUFCFIGHT-26JUN27OFLREY-REY
Event family
KXUFCFIGHT-26JUN27OFLREY.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$2K
Outcomes
2
Highest price
Javier Reyes 60¢
Current share
36%
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
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SimpleFunctions context
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Prediction Market Index
Market-wide volatility, geo risk, breadth, and activity around this contract.
Market Screener
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Event Probability API
Read 61% as a structured event probability object for agents and apps.
Realtime Data API
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World State API
Compact market-aware context packets for agent sessions and scheduled refresh.
Hedging Workflows
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.