Jaxon Smith-Njigba · KXESPYS-26BNP
Jaxon Smith-Njigba is priced at 14¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 8¢ bid, 12¢ ask, 4¢ spread. This outcome ranks #3 of 5 inside KXESPYS-26BNP.
Price history
14¢ current
+12¢Contract brief
If Jaxon Smith-Njigba wins Best Pro Football Player at the 2026 ESPYS, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Jaxon Smith-Njigba
Rank
#3 of 5
Leader
Matthew Stafford 53¢
Range
1¢-53¢
Family volume
$27
Identifier
KXESPYS-26BNP-JAX
Jul 12, 2026, 4:08 AM UTC · 7h ago
Implied probability
Bid
8¢
Ask
12¢
Spread
4¢
Reported volume
$6K
Family rank
#3 of 5
5 outcomes · KXESPYS-26BNP
Closes
Jul 16, 2027
Family volume
$27
Orderbook snapshot
8 / 12¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If Jaxon Smith-Njigba wins Best Pro Football Player at the 2026 ESPYS, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Jul 16, 2027
Identifier
KXESPYS-26BNP-JAX
Event family
KXESPYS-26BNP.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$27
Outcomes
5
Highest price
Matthew Stafford 53¢
Current share
0%
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.