SimpleFunctions

Myles Garrett · KXESPYS-26BNP

Myles Garrett is priced at 36¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 32¢ bid, 36¢ ask, 4¢ spread. This outcome ranks #2 of 5 inside KXESPYS-26BNP.

Price history

36¢ current

+33¢
0¢25¢
Jun 30, 2026Jul 5, 2026

Contract brief

If Myles Garrett wins Best Pro Football Player at the 2026 ESPYS, then the market resolves to Yes.

Outcome

Myles Garrett

Rank

#2 of 5

Leader

Matthew Stafford 53¢

Range

1¢-53¢

Family volume

$27

Identifier

KXESPYS-26BNP-MYL

Jul 12, 2026, 4:08 AM UTC · 7h ago

Implied probability

36¢
Latest venue quote
Jul 12, 2026, 4:08 AM UTC · 7h ago

Bid

32¢

Ask

36¢

Spread

Reported volume

$3K

Family rank

#2 of 5

5 outcomes · KXESPYS-26BNP

Closes

Jul 16, 2027

Family volume

$27

Orderbook snapshot

32 / 36¢

Kalshi
4¢ spread
BidSize
32¢20
31¢255
12¢156
11¢339
10¢344
AskSize
36¢5
37¢200
51¢147
52¢405
64¢300

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

If Myles Garrett wins Best Pro Football Player at the 2026 ESPYS, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Jul 16, 2027

Identifier

KXESPYS-26BNP-MYL

SF Signal
SF Index
104.98
Regime
neutral

Event family

KXESPYS-26BNP.

The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.

Total volume

$27

Outcomes

5

Highest price

Matthew Stafford 53¢

Current share

0%

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

210.0%

IY (No)

46.5%

Adj IY

105%

CRI

2

Overround

-0.1%

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

210.0%
46.5%
Adj IY
105%
2
Overround
-0.1%

SimpleFunctions context

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Open index

How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.