SimpleFunctions

Jeremiah Wells · KXUFCFIGHT-26AUG15WELORO

Jeremiah Wells is priced at 18¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 17¢ bid, 18¢ ask, 1¢ spread. This outcome ranks #2 of 2 inside KXUFCFIGHT-26AUG15WELORO.

Price history

18¢ current

15¢20¢
Aug 7, 2026Aug 7, 2026

Contract brief

If Jeremiah Wells wins the Wells vs Uulu professional MMA fight originally scheduled for Aug 15, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Outcome

Jeremiah Wells

Rank

#2 of 2

Leader

Myktybek Orolbay Uulu 81¢

Range

17¢-81¢

Family volume

$352

Identifier

KXUFCFIGHT-26AUG15WELORO-WEL

Aug 7, 2026, 7:38 PM UTC · 13m ago

Implied probability

18¢
Latest venue quote
Aug 7, 2026, 7:38 PM UTC · 13m ago

Bid

17¢

Ask

18¢

Spread

24h volume

$174

Family rank

#2 of 2

2 outcomes · KXUFCFIGHT-26AUG15WELORO

Closes

Aug 29, 2026

Family volume

$352

Orderbook snapshot

17 / 18¢

Kalshi
1¢ spread
BidSize
17¢1.5K
16¢456
15¢1.8K
14¢1.8K
12¢12
AskSize
18¢813
19¢2.7K
20¢1.2K
21¢1.5K
22¢1.5K

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

If Jeremiah Wells wins the Wells vs Uulu professional MMA fight originally scheduled for Aug 15, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Aug 29, 2026

Identifier

KXUFCFIGHT-26AUG15WELORO-WEL

SF Signal
SF Index
4019.44
Regime
neutral

Event family

KXUFCFIGHT-26AUG15WELORO.

The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.

Total volume

$352

Outcomes

2

Highest price

Myktybek Orolbay Uulu 81¢

Current share

49%

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

8038.9%
337.2%
Adj IY
4019%
5

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How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.