Myktybek Orolbay Uulu · KXUFCFIGHT-26AUG15WELORO
Myktybek Orolbay Uulu is priced at 83¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 81¢ bid, 83¢ ask, 2¢ spread. This outcome ranks #1 of 2 inside KXUFCFIGHT-26AUG15WELORO.
Price history
83¢ current
Contract brief
If Myktybek Orolbay Uulu wins the Wells vs Uulu professional MMA fight originally scheduled for Aug 15, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Myktybek Orolbay Uulu
Rank
#1 of 2
Leader
Myktybek Orolbay Uulu 81¢
Range
15¢-81¢
Family volume
$244
Identifier
KXUFCFIGHT-26AUG15WELORO-ORO
Aug 7, 2026, 9:08 PM UTC · 3m ago
Implied probability
Bid
81¢
Ask
83¢
Spread
2¢
24h volume
$65
Family rank
#1 of 2
2 outcomes · KXUFCFIGHT-26AUG15WELORO
Closes
Aug 29, 2026
Family volume
$244
Orderbook snapshot
81 / 83¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If Myktybek Orolbay Uulu wins the Wells vs Uulu professional MMA fight originally scheduled for Aug 15, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Aug 29, 2026
Identifier
KXUFCFIGHT-26AUG15WELORO-ORO
Event family
KXUFCFIGHT-26AUG15WELORO.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$244
Outcomes
2
Highest price
Myktybek Orolbay Uulu 81¢
Current share
27%
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
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Event Probability API
Read 83% as a structured event probability object for agents and apps.
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.