Jerri Green · KXGOVTNNOMD-26
Jerri Green is priced at 86¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 79¢ bid, 88¢ ask, 9¢ spread. This outcome ranks #1 of 3 inside KXGOVTNNOMD-26.
Price history
86¢ current
+83¢Contract brief
If Jerri Green wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the 2026 Tennessee Governorship, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Jerri Green
Rank
#1 of 3
Leader
Jerri Green 79¢
Range
1¢-79¢
Family volume
$57
Identifier
KXGOVTNNOMD-26-JGRE
Jun 25, 2026, 4:38 PM UTC · 14m ago
Implied probability
Bid
79¢
Ask
88¢
Spread
9¢
24h volume
$56
Family rank
#1 of 3
3 outcomes · KXGOVTNNOMD-26
Closes
Aug 6, 2027
Family volume
$57
Orderbook snapshot
79 / 88¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If Jerri Green wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the 2026 Tennessee Governorship, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Aug 6, 2027
Identifier
KXGOVTNNOMD-26-JGRE
Event family
KXGOVTNNOMD-26.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$57
Outcomes
3
Highest price
Jerri Green 79¢
Current share
98%
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Odds pages
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SimpleFunctions context
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Prediction Market Index
Market-wide volatility, geo risk, breadth, and activity around this contract.
Market Screener
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Event Probability API
Read 86% as a structured event probability object for agents and apps.
Realtime Data API
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World State API
Compact market-aware context packets for agent sessions and scheduled refresh.
Hedging Workflows
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.