Joe Strada · KXFLPRIMARY-11R26
Joe Strada is priced at 63¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 62¢ bid, 63¢ ask, 1¢ spread. This outcome ranks #1 of 12 inside KXFLPRIMARY-11R26.
Price history
63¢ current
Contract brief
If Joe Strada wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the 2026 FL-11 House seat, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Joe Strada
Rank
#1 of 12
Leader
Joe Strada 62¢
Range
1¢-62¢
Family volume
$1K
Identifier
KXFLPRIMARY-11R26-JSTR
Jul 12, 2026, 4:08 AM UTC · 7h ago
Implied probability
Bid
62¢
Ask
63¢
Spread
1¢
24h volume
$470
Family rank
#1 of 12
12 outcomes · KXFLPRIMARY-11R26
Closes
Nov 3, 2027
Family volume
$1K
Orderbook snapshot
62 / 63¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If Joe Strada wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the 2026 FL-11 House seat, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Nov 3, 2027
Identifier
KXFLPRIMARY-11R26-JSTR
Event family
KXFLPRIMARY-11R26.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$1K
Outcomes
12
Highest price
Joe Strada 62¢
Current share
32%
Joe Strada
kalshi · KXFLPRIMARY-11R26-JSTR
Carey Baker
kalshi · KXFLPRIMARY-11R26-CBAK
Tim Wilkins
kalshi · KXFLPRIMARY-11R26-TWIL
Jason Fischer
kalshi · KXFLPRIMARY-11R26-JFIS
Nizam Razack
kalshi · KXFLPRIMARY-11R26-NRAZ
Ivette Palomo
kalshi · KXFLPRIMARY-11R26-IPAL
Anthony Sabatini
kalshi · KXFLPRIMARY-11R26-ASAB
Antonette Harmon
kalshi · KXFLPRIMARY-11R26-AHAR
Mike Wilnau
kalshi · KXFLPRIMARY-11R26-MWIL
Peyton Grinnell
kalshi · KXFLPRIMARY-11R26-PGRI
Laura Loomer
kalshi · KXFLPRIMARY-11R26-LLOO
Keith Truenow
kalshi · KXFLPRIMARY-11R26-KTRU
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Full indicator table
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.