Jordan · KXWCFTTS-26JUN27JORARG
Jordan is priced at 15¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 9¢ bid, 15¢ ask, 6¢ spread. This outcome ranks #2 of 3 inside KXWCFTTS-26JUN27JORARG.
Price history
15¢ current
+4¢Contract brief
If Jordan records the first goal during the entire game (regulation, stoppage and any extra time periods) of the Jordan vs Argentina professional FIFA World Cup soccer game originally scheduled for Jun 27, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Jordan
Rank
#2 of 3
Leader
Argentina 81¢
Range
1¢-81¢
Family volume
$3K
Identifier
KXWCFTTS-26JUN27JORARG-JOR
Jun 26, 2026, 3:38 AM UTC · 10m ago
Implied probability
Bid
9¢
Ask
15¢
Spread
6¢
24h volume
$265
Family rank
#2 of 3
3 outcomes · KXWCFTTS-26JUN27JORARG
Closes
Jul 12, 2026
Family volume
$3K
Orderbook snapshot
9 / 15¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If Jordan records the first goal during the entire game (regulation, stoppage and any extra time periods) of the Jordan vs Argentina professional FIFA World Cup soccer game originally scheduled for Jun 27, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Jul 12, 2026
Identifier
KXWCFTTS-26JUN27JORARG-JOR
Event family
KXWCFTTS-26JUN27JORARG.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$3K
Outcomes
3
Highest price
Argentina 81¢
Current share
9%
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Full indicator table
Odds pages
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.