SimpleFunctions

Josh Allen · KXNFLT100TOP-26T5

Josh Allen is priced at 99¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 0¢ bid, 95¢ ask, 95¢ spread. This outcome ranks #1 of 12 inside KXNFLT100TOP-26T5.

Price history

99¢ current

95¢100¢
Jul 12, 2026Jul 12, 2026

Contract brief

If Josh Allen is ranked in the Top 5 on the NFL Top 100 List in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Outcome

Josh Allen

Rank

#1 of 12

Leader

Josh Allen 99¢

Range

1¢-99¢

Family volume

$0

Identifier

KXNFLT100TOP-26T5-JALLEN17

Jul 12, 2026, 10:26 PM UTC · 0m ago

Implied probability

99¢
Latest venue quote
Jul 12, 2026, 10:26 PM UTC · 0m ago

Bid

Ask

95¢

Spread

95¢

Reported volume

$25

Family rank

#1 of 12

12 outcomes · KXNFLT100TOP-26T5

Closes

Sep 9, 2026

Family volume

$0

Orderbook snapshot

0 / 95¢

Kalshi
95¢ spread
BidSize
AskSize
95¢100
99¢100

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

If Josh Allen is ranked in the Top 5 on the NFL Top 100 List in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Sep 9, 2026

Identifier

KXNFLT100TOP-26T5-JALLEN17

SF Signal
Regime
neutral

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

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How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.