Matthew Stafford · KXNFLT100TOP-26T5
Matthew Stafford is priced at 78¢ midpoint on Kalshi. Current book: 61¢ bid, 94¢ ask, 33¢ spread. This outcome ranks #5 of 12 inside KXNFLT100TOP-26T5.
Price history
78¢ current
+76¢Contract brief
If Matthew Stafford is ranked in the Top 5 on the NFL Top 100 List in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Matthew Stafford
Rank
#5 of 12
Leader
Josh Allen 99¢
Range
1¢-99¢
Family volume
$0
Identifier
KXNFLT100TOP-26T5-MSTAFFORD9
Jul 12, 2026, 1:38 AM UTC · 14m ago
Implied probability
Bid
61¢
Ask
94¢
Spread
33¢
Reported volume
$0
Family rank
#5 of 12
12 outcomes · KXNFLT100TOP-26T5
Closes
Sep 9, 2026
Family volume
$0
Orderbook snapshot
61 / 94¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If Matthew Stafford is ranked in the Top 5 on the NFL Top 100 List in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Sep 9, 2026
Identifier
KXNFLT100TOP-26T5-MSTAFFORD9
Event family
KXNFLT100TOP-26T5.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$0
Outcomes
12
Highest price
Josh Allen 99¢
Current share
—
Josh Allen
kalshi · KXNFLT100TOP-26T5-JALLEN17
Ja'Marr Chase
kalshi · KXNFLT100TOP-26T5-JCHASE1
Patrick Mahomes
kalshi · KXNFLT100TOP-26T5-PMAHOMES15
Myles Garrett
kalshi · KXNFLT100TOP-26T5-MGARRETT95
Matthew Stafford
kalshi · KXNFLT100TOP-26T5-MSTAFFORD9
Justin Jefferson
kalshi · KXNFLT100TOP-26T5-JJEFFERSON18
Lamar Jackson
kalshi · KXNFLT100TOP-26T5-LJACKSON8
Jaxon Smith-Njigba
kalshi · KXNFLT100TOP-26T5-JSMITHNJIGBA11
Jahmyr Gibbs
kalshi · KXNFLT100TOP-26T5-JGIBBS0
Penei Sewell
kalshi · KXNFLT100TOP-26T5-PSEWELL58
Drake Maye
kalshi · KXNFLT100TOP-26T5-DMAYE10
Caleb Williams
kalshi · KXNFLT100TOP-26T5-CWILLIAMS18
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Full indicator table
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SimpleFunctions context
Index, screen, query, and monitor.
Prediction Market Index
Market-wide volatility, geo risk, breadth, and activity around this contract.
Market Screener
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Event Probability API
Read 78% as a structured event probability object for agents and apps.
Realtime Data API
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World State API
Compact market-aware context packets for agent sessions and scheduled refresh.
Hedging Workflows
Map a thesis or exposure to candidate event markets and monitoring paths.
How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.