SimpleFunctions

Justin Wrobleski · KXMLBALLSTAR-26NL

Justin Wrobleski is priced at 60¢ midpoint on Kalshi. Current book: 25¢ bid, 94¢ ask, 69¢ spread. This outcome ranks #12 of 16 inside KXMLBALLSTAR-26NL.

Price history

60¢ current

60¢
Jun 24, 2026Jun 24, 2026

Contract brief

If Justin Wrobleski is selected to the 2026 National League All-Star Team, then the market resolves to Yes.

Outcome

Justin Wrobleski

Rank

#12 of 16

Leader

Jacob Misiorowski 93¢

Range

2¢-93¢

Family volume

$4K

Identifier

KXMLBALLSTAR-26NL-JWROBLESKI70

Jun 24, 2026, 11:08 AM UTC · 43m ago

Implied probability

60¢
Bid/ask midpoint
Jun 24, 2026, 11:08 AM UTC · 43m ago

Bid

25¢

Ask

94¢

Spread

69¢

Reported volume

$0

Family rank

#12 of 16

16 outcomes · KXMLBALLSTAR-26NL

Closes

Jul 15, 2026

Family volume

$4K

Orderbook snapshot

25 / 94¢

Kalshi
69¢ spread
BidSize
100¢657
25¢800
6¢46
2¢2.5K
AskSize
94¢5
95¢100
99¢815

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

If Justin Wrobleski is selected to the 2026 National League All-Star Team, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Jul 15, 2026

Identifier

KXMLBALLSTAR-26NL-JWROBLESKI70

SF Signal
SF Index
2666.05
Regime
neutral

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

5332.1%

IY (No)

592.5%

Adj IY

2666%

CRI

3

Overround

17.0%

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

5332.1%
592.5%
Adj IY
2666%
3
Overround
17.0%

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How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.