Riley O'Brien · KXMLBALLSTAR-26NL
Riley O'Brien is priced at 71¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 61¢ bid, 75¢ ask, 14¢ spread. This outcome ranks #11 of 16 inside KXMLBALLSTAR-26NL.
Price history
71¢ current
+66¢Contract brief
If Riley O'Brien is selected to the 2026 National League All-Star Team, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Riley O'Brien
Rank
#11 of 16
Leader
Jacob Misiorowski 93¢
Range
9¢-93¢
Family volume
$6K
Identifier
KXMLBALLSTAR-26NL-ROBRIEN61
Jun 24, 2026, 7:38 PM UTC · 24m ago
Implied probability
Bid
61¢
Ask
75¢
Spread
14¢
24h volume
$250
Family rank
#11 of 16
16 outcomes · KXMLBALLSTAR-26NL
Closes
Jul 15, 2026
Family volume
$6K
Orderbook snapshot
61 / 75¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If Riley O'Brien is selected to the 2026 National League All-Star Team, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Jul 15, 2026
Identifier
KXMLBALLSTAR-26NL-ROBRIEN61
Event family
KXMLBALLSTAR-26NL.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$6K
Outcomes
16
Highest price
Jacob Misiorowski 93¢
Current share
4%
Jacob Misiorowski
kalshi · KXMLBALLSTAR-26NL-JMISIOROWSKI32
Shohei Ohtani
kalshi · KXMLBALLSTAR-26NL-SOHTANI17
Cristopher Sánchez
kalshi · KXMLBALLSTAR-26NL-CSANCHEZ61
Yoshinobu Yamamoto
kalshi · KXMLBALLSTAR-26NL-YYAMAMOTO18
Kyle Schwarber
kalshi · KXMLBALLSTAR-26NL-KSCHWARBER12
Mason Miller
kalshi · KXMLBALLSTAR-26NL-MMILLER22
Paul Skenes
kalshi · KXMLBALLSTAR-26NL-PSKENES30
Corbin Carroll
kalshi · KXMLBALLSTAR-26NL-CCARROLL7
Chase Burns
kalshi · KXMLBALLSTAR-26NL-CBURNS26
Eduardo Rodriguez
kalshi · KXMLBALLSTAR-26NL-ERODRIGUEZ57
Riley O'Brien
kalshi · KXMLBALLSTAR-26NL-ROBRIEN61
Max Meyer
kalshi · KXMLBALLSTAR-26NL-MMEYER23
Freddie Freeman
kalshi · KXMLBALLSTAR-26NL-FFREEMAN5
Michael Harris
kalshi · KXMLBALLSTAR-26NL-MHARRIS23
Casey Schmitt
kalshi · KXMLBALLSTAR-26NL-CSCHMITT10
Mookie Betts
kalshi · KXMLBALLSTAR-26NL-MBETTS50
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Full indicator table
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Event Probability API
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Realtime Data API
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.