SimpleFunctions

Kansas City win at least 70 games this season

70+ wins is priced at 62¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 43¢ bid, 63¢ ask, 20¢ spread. This outcome ranks #2 of 7 inside Will Kansas City win at least.

Price history

62¢ current

3¢
50¢75¢
May 23, 2026Jun 22, 2026

Contract brief

If Kansas City has 70+ wins in the 2026 pro baseball team regular season, then the market resolves to Yes.

Outcome

70+ wins

Rank

#2 of 7

Leader

65+ wins 67¢

Range

1¢-67¢

Family volume

$0

Identifier

KXMLBWINS-KC-26-T70

Jun 22, 2026, 8:38 PM UTC · 9m ago

Implied probability

62¢
Latest venue quote
Jun 22, 2026, 8:38 PM UTC · 9m ago

Bid

43¢

Ask

63¢

Spread

20¢

24h volume

$0

Family rank

#2 of 7

7 outcomes · Will Kansas City win at least

Closes

Nov 8, 2026

Family volume

$0

Orderbook snapshot

43 / 63¢

Kalshi
20¢ spread
BidSize
43¢250
42¢25
38¢100
34¢200
9¢50
AskSize
63¢100
68¢250
72¢25
76¢100
80¢200

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

If Kansas City has 70+ wins in the 2026 pro baseball team regular season, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Nov 8, 2026

Identifier

KXMLBWINS-KC-26-T70

SF Signal
SF Index
274.68
Regime
neutral

Event family

Will Kansas City win at least.

The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.

Total volume

$0

Outcomes

7

Highest price

65+ wins 67¢

Current share

100%

Browse this series

MLB Team Season Win Total Markets
Per-series collection — every live contract in the KXMLBWINS series on Kalshi, sorted by 24h volume.

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

253.6%

IY (No)

274.7%

Adj IY

275%

CRI

1

RV

1479%

VR

8.31

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

253.6%
274.7%
Adj IY
275%
1
RV
1479%
VR
8.31
IAR
0.7/h
Overround
0.6%

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SimpleFunctions context

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How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.