SimpleFunctions

Kansas City · KXNFLGAME-26SEP14DENKC

Kansas City is priced at 59¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 56¢ bid, 60¢ ask, 4¢ spread. This outcome ranks #1 of 2 inside KXNFLGAME-26SEP14DENKC.

Price history

59¢ current

+4¢
50¢60¢
Jun 11, 2026Jul 11, 2026

Contract brief

If Kansas City wins the Denver vs Kansas City professional football game originally scheduled for Sep 14, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Outcome

Kansas City

Rank

#1 of 2

Leader

Kansas City 56¢

Range

42¢-56¢

Family volume

$312

Identifier

KXNFLGAME-26SEP14DENKC-KC

Jul 11, 2026, 1:08 PM UTC · 21m ago

Implied probability

59¢
Latest venue quote
Jul 11, 2026, 1:08 PM UTC · 21m ago

Bid

56¢

Ask

60¢

Spread

24h volume

$41

Family rank

#1 of 2

2 outcomes · KXNFLGAME-26SEP14DENKC

Closes

Sep 17, 2026

Family volume

$312

Orderbook snapshot

56 / 60¢

Kalshi
4¢ spread
BidSize
56¢18
55¢20
53¢195
52¢340
49¢148
AskSize
60¢594
61¢1.3K
62¢233
65¢543
68¢337

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

If Kansas City wins the Denver vs Kansas City professional football game originally scheduled for Sep 14, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Sep 17, 2026

Identifier

KXNFLGAME-26SEP14DENKC-KC

SF Signal
SF Index
688.59
Regime
neutral

Event family

KXNFLGAME-26SEP14DENKC.

The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.

Total volume

$312

Outcomes

2

Highest price

Kansas City 56¢

Current share

13%

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

425.1%

IY (No)

688.6%

Adj IY

689%

CRI

1

RV

147%

VR

0.69

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

425.1%
688.6%
Adj IY
689%
1
RV
147%
VR
0.69
IAR
0.5/h

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How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.