SimpleFunctions

Kansas City · KXNFLGAME-26SEP14DENKC

Kansas City is priced at 60¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 34¢ bid, 59¢ ask, 25¢ spread. This outcome ranks #2 of 2 inside KXNFLGAME-26SEP14DENKC.

Price history

60¢ current

+35¢
25¢50¢
May 15, 2026May 27, 2026

Contract brief

If Kansas City wins the Denver vs Kansas City professional football game originally scheduled for Sep 14, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Outcome

Kansas City

Rank

#2 of 2

Leader

Denver 41¢

Range

34¢-41¢

Family volume

$25

Identifier

KXNFLGAME-26SEP14DENKC-KC

May 28, 2026, 1:38 AM UTC · 11m ago

Implied probability

60¢
Latest venue quote
May 28, 2026, 1:38 AM UTC · 11m ago

Bid

34¢

Ask

59¢

Spread

25¢

Reported volume

$127

Family rank

#2 of 2

2 outcomes · KXNFLGAME-26SEP14DENKC

Closes

Sep 17, 2026

Family volume

$25

Orderbook snapshot

34 / 59¢

Kalshi
25¢ spread
BidSize
34¢3
33¢283
32¢555
28¢1
26¢800
AskSize
59¢5
60¢1
61¢674
62¢27
76¢476

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

If Kansas City wins the Denver vs Kansas City professional football game originally scheduled for Sep 14, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Sep 17, 2026

Identifier

KXNFLGAME-26SEP14DENKC-KC

SF Signal
SF Index
632.94
Regime
neutral

Event family

KXNFLGAME-26SEP14DENKC.

The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.

Total volume

$25

Outcomes

2

Highest price

Denver 41¢

Current share

0%

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

632.9%

IY (No)

168.0%

Adj IY

633%

CRI

2

RV

1063%

VR

4.23

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

632.9%
168.0%
Adj IY
633%
2
RV
1063%
VR
4.23
IAR
0.5/h

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How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.