Kansas St · KXNCAAFB12REGTOP-27T4
Kansas St. is priced at 34¢ midpoint on Kalshi. Current book: 24¢ bid, 44¢ ask, 20¢ spread. This outcome ranks #5 of 15 inside KXNCAAFB12REGTOP-27T4.
Price history
34¢ current
+24¢Contract brief
If Kansas St. finishes in the top 4 in the Big 12 in the 2026 college football regular season, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Kansas St.
Rank
#5 of 15
Leader
Texas Tech 82¢
Range
1¢-82¢
Family volume
$0
Identifier
KXNCAAFB12REGTOP-27T4-KSU
Aug 22, 2026, 12:38 AM UTC · 2h ago
Implied probability
Bid
24¢
Ask
44¢
Spread
20¢
Reported volume
$0
Family rank
#5 of 15
15 outcomes · KXNCAAFB12REGTOP-27T4
Closes
Feb 7, 2027
Family volume
$0
Orderbook snapshot
24 / 44¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If Kansas St. finishes in the top 4 in the Big 12 in the 2026 college football regular season, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Feb 7, 2027
Identifier
KXNCAAFB12REGTOP-27T4-KSU
Event family
KXNCAAFB12REGTOP-27T4.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$0
Outcomes
15
Highest price
Texas Tech 82¢
Current share
—
Texas Tech
kalshi · KXNCAAFB12REGTOP-27T4-TTU
BYU
kalshi · KXNCAAFB12REGTOP-27T4-BYU
Utah
kalshi · KXNCAAFB12REGTOP-27T4-UTAH
Houston
kalshi · KXNCAAFB12REGTOP-27T4-HOU
Kansas St.
kalshi · KXNCAAFB12REGTOP-27T4-KSU
Arizona
kalshi · KXNCAAFB12REGTOP-27T4-ARIZ
TCU
kalshi · KXNCAAFB12REGTOP-27T4-TCU
Colorado
kalshi · KXNCAAFB12REGTOP-27T4-COLO
Arizona St.
kalshi · KXNCAAFB12REGTOP-27T4-ASU
Oklahoma St.
kalshi · KXNCAAFB12REGTOP-27T4-OKST
Baylor
kalshi · KXNCAAFB12REGTOP-27T4-BAY
West Virginia
kalshi · KXNCAAFB12REGTOP-27T4-WVU
Iowa St.
kalshi · KXNCAAFB12REGTOP-27T4-ISU
Kansas
kalshi · KXNCAAFB12REGTOP-27T4-KU
UCF
kalshi · KXNCAAFB12REGTOP-27T4-UCF
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Full indicator table
Odds pages
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SimpleFunctions context
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Prediction Market Index
Market-wide volatility, geo risk, breadth, and activity around this contract.
Market Screener
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Event Probability API
Read 34% as a structured event probability object for agents and apps.
Realtime Data API
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World State API
Compact market-aware context packets for agent sessions and scheduled refresh.
Hedging Workflows
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.