Will Keri Russell win Drama Actress at the Emmy Awards
Will Keri Russell win Drama Actress at the Emmy Awards is priced at 1¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 0¢ bid, 100¢ ask, 100¢ spread. This page tracks a standalone prediction-market contract.
Price history
1¢ current
−5¢Contract brief
If Keri Russell has won Outstanding Lead Actress In A Drama Series at the 78th Emmy Awards, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Will Keri Russell win Drama Actress at the Emmy Awards
Rank
Standalone
Leader
—
Range
—
Family volume
$25K
Identifier
KXEMMYDACTR-26SEP14-KER
Sep 16, 2026, 5:33 AM UTC · 0m ago
Implied probability
Bid
0¢
Ask
100¢
Spread
100¢
Reported volume
$25K
Family rank
Standalone
Standalone contract
Closes
Sep 15, 2026
Family volume
$25K
Orderbook snapshot
0 / 100¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If Keri Russell has won Outstanding Lead Actress In A Drama Series at the 78th Emmy Awards, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Sep 15, 2026
Identifier
KXEMMYDACTR-26SEP14-KER
Event family
This market.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$25K
Outcomes
1
Highest price
Will Keri Russell win Drama Actress at the Emmy Awards 1¢
Current share
100%
Will Keri Russell win Drama Actress at the Emmy Awards
kalshi · KXEMMYDACTR-26SEP14-KER
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
taker
Score
0.636
Observability
direct
Event type
cultural
Odds pages
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.