Before the 2028-29 season · Will Kirk Cousins announce his retirement before the 202
Before the 2028-29 season is priced at 38¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 32¢ bid, 40¢ ask, 8¢ spread. This outcome ranks #2 of 3 inside Will Kirk Cousins announce his retirement before the 202.
Price history
38¢ current
+14¢Contract brief
If Kirk Cousins announces his retirement from the NFL before the 2028-29 NFL season start date, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Before the 2028-29 season
Rank
#2 of 3
Leader
Before the 2029-30 season 54¢
Range
16¢-54¢
Family volume
$0
Identifier
KXNFLRETIRE-KCOUSINS8-2829
Sep 18, 2026, 3:08 AM UTC · 21m ago
Implied probability
Bid
32¢
Ask
40¢
Spread
8¢
Reported volume
$157
Family rank
#2 of 3
3 outcomes · Will Kirk Cousins announce his retirement before the 202
Closes
Sep 30, 2028
Family volume
$0
Orderbook snapshot
32 / 40¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If Kirk Cousins announces his retirement from the NFL before the 2028-29 NFL season start date, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Sep 30, 2028
Identifier
KXNFLRETIRE-KCOUSINS8-2829
Event family
Will Kirk Cousins announce his retirement before the 202.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$0
Outcomes
3
Highest price
Before the 2029-30 season 54¢
Current share
—
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.409
Observability
medium
Event type
sports
Full indicator table
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.