Will Kyle Schwarber and Jac Caglianone be the matchup for the final round of the 2026 Home Run Derby
Will Kyle Schwarber and Jac Caglianone be the matchup for the final round of the 2026 Home Run Derby is priced at 6¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 5¢ bid, 6¢ ask, 1¢ spread. This page tracks a standalone prediction-market contract.
Price history
6¢ current
+4¢Contract brief
If Kyle Schwarber and Jac Caglianone is the matchup for the final round of the 2026 Home Run Derby, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Will Kyle Schwarber and Jac Caglianone be the matchup for the final round of the 2026 Home Run Derby
Rank
Standalone
Leader
—
Range
—
Family volume
$66K
Identifier
KXMLBHRDERBYMATCHUP-26-KSCHWARBER12JCAGLIANONE14
Jul 13, 2026, 10:43 PM UTC · 0m ago
Implied probability
Bid
5¢
Ask
6¢
Spread
1¢
24h volume
$62K
Family rank
Standalone
Standalone contract
Closes
Jul 21, 2026
Family volume
$66K
Orderbook snapshot
5 / 6¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If Kyle Schwarber and Jac Caglianone is the matchup for the final round of the 2026 Home Run Derby, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Jul 21, 2026
Identifier
KXMLBHRDERBYMATCHUP-26-KSCHWARBER12JCAGLIANONE14
Event family
This market.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$66K
Outcomes
1
Highest price
Will Kyle Schwarber and Jac Caglianone be the matchup for the final round of the 2026 Home Run Derby 6¢
Current share
100%
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Odds pages
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.