Lana Del Rey · KX20SONG-26DEC26
Lana Del Rey is priced at 37¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 24¢ bid, 37¢ ask, 13¢ spread. This outcome ranks #5 of 16 inside KX20SONG-26DEC26.
Price history
37¢ current
+10¢Contract brief
If Lana Del Rey has a top 20 single on the Billboard Hot 100 by the Billboard issue for Dec 26, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Lana Del Rey
Rank
#5 of 16
Leader
KATSEYE 57¢
Range
1¢-57¢
Family volume
$23
Identifier
KX20SONG-26DEC26-LAN
Jun 23, 2026, 6:08 AM UTC · 27m ago
Implied probability
Bid
24¢
Ask
37¢
Spread
13¢
Reported volume
$3K
Family rank
#5 of 16
16 outcomes · KX20SONG-26DEC26
Closes
Dec 29, 2026
Family volume
$23
Orderbook snapshot
24 / 37¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If Lana Del Rey has a top 20 single on the Billboard Hot 100 by the Billboard issue for Dec 26, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Dec 29, 2026
Identifier
KX20SONG-26DEC26-LAN
Event family
KX20SONG-26DEC26.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$23
Outcomes
16
Highest price
KATSEYE 57¢
Current share
0%
KATSEYE
kalshi · KX20SONG-26DEC26-KAT
Beyoncé
kalshi · KX20SONG-26DEC26-BEY
Kendrick Lamar
kalshi · KX20SONG-26DEC26-KEN
Billie Eilish
kalshi · KX20SONG-26DEC26-BIL
Lana Del Rey
kalshi · KX20SONG-26DEC26-LAN
Lil Baby
kalshi · KX20SONG-26DEC26-BAB
Addison Rae
kalshi · KX20SONG-26DEC26-ADD
Benson Boone
kalshi · KX20SONG-26DEC26-BEN
BLACKPINK
kalshi · KX20SONG-26DEC26-BLA
Bebe Rexha
kalshi · KX20SONG-26DEC26-BEB
Charlie Puth
kalshi · KX20SONG-26DEC26-CHA
2 Chainz
kalshi · KX20SONG-26DEC26-2CH
Calvin Harris
kalshi · KX20SONG-26DEC26-CAL
Big Sean
kalshi · KX20SONG-26DEC26-BIG
Anuel AA
kalshi · KX20SONG-26DEC26-ANU
Camilo
kalshi · KX20SONG-26DEC26-CAM
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Full indicator table
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.