Larry Rhoden · KXGOVSDNOMR-26
Larry Rhoden is priced at 48¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 48¢ bid, 49¢ ask, 1¢ spread. This outcome ranks #2 of 2 inside KXGOVSDNOMR-26.
Price history
48¢ current
+36¢Contract brief
If Larry Rhoden wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the 2026 South Dakota Governorship, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Larry Rhoden
Rank
#2 of 2
Leader
Toby Doeden 51¢
Range
48¢-51¢
Family volume
$2K
Identifier
KXGOVSDNOMR-26-LRHO
Jun 25, 2026, 7:08 AM UTC · 28m ago
Implied probability
Bid
48¢
Ask
49¢
Spread
1¢
24h volume
$855
Family rank
#2 of 2
2 outcomes · KXGOVSDNOMR-26
Closes
Nov 3, 2026
Family volume
$2K
Orderbook snapshot
48 / 49¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If Larry Rhoden wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the 2026 South Dakota Governorship, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Nov 3, 2026
Identifier
KXGOVSDNOMR-26-LRHO
Event family
KXGOVSDNOMR-26.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$2K
Outcomes
2
Highest price
Toby Doeden 51¢
Current share
39%
Toby Doeden
kalshi · KXGOVSDNOMR-26-TDOE
Larry Rhoden
kalshi · KXGOVSDNOMR-26-LRHO
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.409
Observability
medium
Event type
political
Odds pages
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.