Las Vegas win at least 5 games in the first 12 weeks
Las Vegas: 5+ wins in first 12 weeks is priced at 52¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 44¢ bid, 54¢ ask, 10¢ spread. This outcome ranks #6 of 16 inside KXNFLWINSWEEK-26W12.
Price history
52¢ current
+14¢Contract brief
If the Las Vegas Pro Football wins at least 5 games in the first 12 weeks of the Pro Football season, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Las Vegas: 5+ wins in first 12 weeks
Rank
#6 of 16
Leader
Arizona: 2+ wins in first 12 weeks 86¢
Range
1¢-86¢
Family volume
$173
Identifier
KXNFLWINSWEEK-26W12-LV5
Sep 19, 2026, 7:38 AM UTC · 12m ago
Implied probability
Bid
44¢
Ask
54¢
Spread
10¢
Reported volume
$55
Family rank
#6 of 16
16 outcomes · KXNFLWINSWEEK-26W12
Closes
Dec 8, 2026
Family volume
$173
Orderbook snapshot
44 / 54¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If the Las Vegas Pro Football wins at least 5 games in the first 12 weeks of the Pro Football season, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Dec 8, 2026
Identifier
KXNFLWINSWEEK-26W12-LV5
Event family
KXNFLWINSWEEK-26W12.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$173
Outcomes
16
Highest price
Arizona: 2+ wins in first 12 weeks 86¢
Current share
11%
Arizona: 2+ wins in first 12 weeks
kalshi · KXNFLWINSWEEK-26W12-ARI2
Green Bay: 2+ wins in first 12 weeks
kalshi · KXNFLWINSWEEK-26W12-GB2
Atlanta: 3+ wins in first 12 weeks
kalshi · KXNFLWINSWEEK-26W12-ATL3
Green Bay: 6+ wins in first 12 weeks
kalshi · KXNFLWINSWEEK-26W12-GB6
Detroit: 7+ wins in first 12 weeks
kalshi · KXNFLWINSWEEK-26W12-DET7
Las Vegas: 5+ wins in first 12 weeks
kalshi · KXNFLWINSWEEK-26W12-LV5
Tampa Bay: 6+ wins in first 12 weeks
kalshi · KXNFLWINSWEEK-26W12-TB6
New England: 7+ wins in first 12 weeks
kalshi · KXNFLWINSWEEK-26W12-NE7
Arizona: 3+ wins in first 12 weeks
kalshi · KXNFLWINSWEEK-26W12-ARI3
Green Bay: 7+ wins in first 12 weeks
kalshi · KXNFLWINSWEEK-26W12-GB7
San Francisco: 9+ wins in first 12 weeks
kalshi · KXNFLWINSWEEK-26W12-SF9
Atlanta: 5+ wins in first 12 weeks
kalshi · KXNFLWINSWEEK-26W12-ATL5
Atlanta: 4+ wins in first 12 weeks
kalshi · KXNFLWINSWEEK-26W12-ATL4
Green Bay: 8+ wins in first 12 weeks
kalshi · KXNFLWINSWEEK-26W12-GB8
Buffalo: 9+ wins in first 12 weeks
kalshi · KXNFLWINSWEEK-26W12-BUF9
Jacksonville: 7+ wins in first 12 weeks
kalshi · KXNFLWINSWEEK-26W12-JAC7
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.