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Las Vegas · KXWNBA-26

Las Vegas is priced at 22¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 21¢ bid, 22¢ ask, 1¢ spread. This outcome ranks #3 of 15 inside KXWNBA-26.

Price history

22¢ current

+5¢
20¢
May 24, 2026Jun 23, 2026

Contract brief

If Las Vegas wins the 2026 Women's Pro Basketball Championship, then the market resolves to Yes.

Outcome

Las Vegas

Rank

#3 of 15

Leader

Minnesota 28¢

Range

1¢-28¢

Family volume

$52K

Identifier

KXWNBA-26-LV

Jun 23, 2026, 10:08 PM UTC · 8m ago

Implied probability

22¢
Latest venue quote
Jun 23, 2026, 10:08 PM UTC · 8m ago

Bid

21¢

Ask

22¢

Spread

24h volume

$66

Family rank

#3 of 15

15 outcomes · KXWNBA-26

Closes

Nov 30, 2028

Family volume

$52K

Orderbook snapshot

21 / 22¢

Kalshi
1¢ spread
BidSize
21¢569
20¢809
19¢992
17¢3.5K
15¢3.5K
AskSize
22¢13K
23¢9.1K
24¢54
25¢1.0K
26¢250

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

If Las Vegas wins the 2026 Women's Pro Basketball Championship, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Nov 30, 2028

Identifier

KXWNBA-26-LV

SF Signal
SF Index
154.16
Regime
neutral

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

154.2%

IY (No)

10.9%

Adj IY

154%

CRI

4

RV

308%

VR

2.37

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

154.2%
10.9%
Adj IY
154%
4
RV
308%
VR
2.37
IAR
0.3/h
Overround
-0.1%

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How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.