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Las Vegas · KXWNBA-26

Las Vegas is priced at 17¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 16¢ bid, 17¢ ask, 1¢ spread. This outcome ranks #3 of 15 inside KXWNBA-26.

Price history

17¢ current

1¢
20¢
May 27, 2026Jun 26, 2026

Contract brief

If Las Vegas wins the 2026 Women's Pro Basketball Championship, then the market resolves to Yes.

Outcome

Las Vegas

Rank

#3 of 15

Leader

Minnesota 29¢

Range

1¢-29¢

Family volume

$12K

Identifier

KXWNBA-26-LV

Jun 26, 2026, 6:38 AM UTC · 10m ago

Implied probability

17¢
Latest venue quote
Jun 26, 2026, 6:38 AM UTC · 10m ago

Bid

16¢

Ask

17¢

Spread

24h volume

$2K

Family rank

#3 of 15

15 outcomes · KXWNBA-26

Closes

Nov 30, 2028

Family volume

$12K

Orderbook snapshot

16 / 17¢

Kalshi
1¢ spread
BidSize
16¢222
15¢29
14¢501
13¢125
12¢4.3K
AskSize
17¢3.5K
18¢4.3K
19¢3.5K
20¢5.4K
21¢4

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

If Las Vegas wins the 2026 Women's Pro Basketball Championship, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Nov 30, 2028

Identifier

KXWNBA-26-LV

SF Signal
SF Index
107.85
Regime
neutral

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

215.7%

IY (No)

7.8%

Adj IY

108%

CRI

5

Overround

-0.1%

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

215.7%
7.8%
Adj IY
108%
5
Overround
-0.1%

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How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.