SimpleFunctions

Las Vegas · KXWNBACCUP-26

Las Vegas is priced at 39¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 39¢ bid, 49¢ ask, 10¢ spread. This outcome ranks #2 of 2 inside KXWNBACCUP-26.

Price history

39¢ current

+24¢
25¢50¢
Jun 1, 2026Jun 24, 2026

Contract brief

If Las Vegas wins the 2026 Women's Pro Basketball Commissioner's Cup, then the market resolves to Yes.

Outcome

Las Vegas

Rank

#2 of 2

Leader

New York 50¢

Range

39¢-50¢

Family volume

$386

Identifier

KXWNBACCUP-26-LV

Jun 24, 2026, 7:38 PM UTC · 17m ago

Implied probability

39¢
Latest venue quote
Jun 24, 2026, 7:38 PM UTC · 17m ago

Bid

39¢

Ask

49¢

Spread

10¢

24h volume

$249

Family rank

#2 of 2

2 outcomes · KXWNBACCUP-26

Closes

Jul 1, 2028

Family volume

$386

Orderbook snapshot

39 / 49¢

Kalshi
10¢ spread
BidSize
39¢40
38¢211
37¢226
36¢211
35¢211
AskSize
49¢10
50¢5
56¢50
57¢101
60¢125

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

If Las Vegas wins the 2026 Women's Pro Basketball Commissioner's Cup, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Jul 1, 2028

Identifier

KXWNBACCUP-26-LV

SF Signal
SF Index
53.57
Regime
neutral

Event family

KXWNBACCUP-26.

The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.

Total volume

$386

Outcomes

2

Highest price

New York 50¢

Current share

65%

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

77.4%

IY (No)

31.6%

Adj IY

54%

CRI

2

RV

665%

VR

9.13

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

77.4%
31.6%
Adj IY
54%
2
RV
665%
VR
9.13
IAR
1.4/h
LAS
0.31

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How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.