Las Vegas · KXNFLAFCCHAMP-27
Las Vegas is priced at 3¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 2¢ bid, 3¢ ask, 1¢ spread. This outcome ranks #11 of 16 inside KXNFLAFCCHAMP-27.
Price history
3¢ current
+1¢Contract brief
If Las Vegas wins the Pro Football AFC Championship, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Las Vegas
Rank
#11 of 16
Leader
Buffalo 14¢
Range
1¢-14¢
Family volume
$8K
Identifier
KXNFLAFCCHAMP-27-LV
Jun 24, 2026, 8:51 AM UTC · 0m ago
Implied probability
Bid
2¢
Ask
3¢
Spread
1¢
Reported volume
$190K
Family rank
#11 of 16
16 outcomes · KXNFLAFCCHAMP-27
Closes
Feb 22, 2027
Family volume
$8K
Orderbook snapshot
2 / 3¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If Las Vegas wins the Pro Football AFC Championship, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Feb 22, 2027
Identifier
KXNFLAFCCHAMP-27-LV
Event family
KXNFLAFCCHAMP-27.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$8K
Outcomes
16
Highest price
Buffalo 14¢
Current share
0%
Buffalo
kalshi · KXNFLAFCCHAMP-27-BUF
Kansas City
kalshi · KXNFLAFCCHAMP-27-KC
Baltimore
kalshi · KXNFLAFCCHAMP-27-BAL
Los Angeles C
kalshi · KXNFLAFCCHAMP-27-LAC
Denver
kalshi · KXNFLAFCCHAMP-27-DEN
New England
kalshi · KXNFLAFCCHAMP-27-NE
Cincinnati
kalshi · KXNFLAFCCHAMP-27-CIN
Houston
kalshi · KXNFLAFCCHAMP-27-HOU
Jacksonville
kalshi · KXNFLAFCCHAMP-27-JAC
Indianapolis
kalshi · KXNFLAFCCHAMP-27-IND
Las Vegas
kalshi · KXNFLAFCCHAMP-27-LV
Miami
kalshi · KXNFLAFCCHAMP-27-MIA
New York J
kalshi · KXNFLAFCCHAMP-27-NYJ
Pittsburgh
kalshi · KXNFLAFCCHAMP-27-PIT
Cleveland
kalshi · KXNFLAFCCHAMP-27-CLE
Tennessee
kalshi · KXNFLAFCCHAMP-27-TEN
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.341
Observability
low
Event type
sports
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SimpleFunctions context
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Prediction Market Index
Market-wide volatility, geo risk, breadth, and activity around this contract.
Market Screener
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Event Probability API
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Realtime Data API
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World State API
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.