SimpleFunctions

Kansas City · KXNFLAFCCHAMP-27

Kansas City is priced at 13¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 13¢ bid, 14¢ ask, 1¢ spread. This outcome ranks #2 of 16 inside KXNFLAFCCHAMP-27.

Price history

13¢ current

10¢15¢
Jun 25, 2026Jun 25, 2026

Contract brief

If Kansas City wins the Pro Football AFC Championship, then the market resolves to Yes.

Outcome

Kansas City

Rank

#2 of 16

Leader

Buffalo 14¢

Range

1¢-14¢

Family volume

$8K

Identifier

KXNFLAFCCHAMP-27-KC

Jun 25, 2026, 7:08 PM UTC · 2m ago

Implied probability

13¢
Latest venue quote
Jun 25, 2026, 7:08 PM UTC · 2m ago

Bid

13¢

Ask

14¢

Spread

24h volume

$74

Family rank

#2 of 16

16 outcomes · KXNFLAFCCHAMP-27

Closes

Feb 22, 2027

Family volume

$8K

Orderbook snapshot

13 / 14¢

Kalshi
1¢ spread
BidSize
13¢2.6K
11¢23K
10¢1.0K
9¢12K
8¢13K
AskSize
14¢42K
15¢28K
16¢25K
17¢10K
18¢183

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

If Kansas City wins the Pro Football AFC Championship, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Feb 22, 2027

Identifier

KXNFLAFCCHAMP-27-KC

SF Signal
SF Index
505.05
Regime
neutral

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

1010.1%

IY (No)

22.6%

Adj IY

505%

CRI

7

Overround

-0.1%

Regime

neutral

Score

0.341

Observability

low

Event type

sports

Full indicator table

1010.1%
22.6%
Adj IY
505%
7
Overround
-0.1%

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How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.