Las Vegas · KXNFLAFCWEST-27
Las Vegas is priced at 7¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 4¢ bid, 7¢ ask, 3¢ spread. This outcome ranks #4 of 4 inside KXNFLAFCWEST-27.
Price history
7¢ current
+1¢Contract brief
If Las Vegas wins the Pro Football AFC West Division, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Las Vegas
Rank
#4 of 4
Leader
Kansas City 33¢
Range
4¢-33¢
Family volume
$311
Identifier
KXNFLAFCWEST-27-LV
Jun 28, 2026, 4:08 PM UTC · 2m ago
Implied probability
Bid
4¢
Ask
7¢
Spread
3¢
24h volume
$67
Family rank
#4 of 4
4 outcomes · KXNFLAFCWEST-27
Closes
Jan 25, 2027
Family volume
$311
Orderbook snapshot
4 / 7¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If Las Vegas wins the Pro Football AFC West Division, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Jan 25, 2027
Identifier
KXNFLAFCWEST-27-LV
Event family
KXNFLAFCWEST-27.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$311
Outcomes
4
Highest price
Kansas City 33¢
Current share
22%
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.341
Observability
low
Event type
sports
Full indicator table
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SimpleFunctions context
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Prediction Market Index
Market-wide volatility, geo risk, breadth, and activity around this contract.
Market Screener
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Event Probability API
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Realtime Data API
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World State API
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.