Before Nov 1, 2026 · Will legislation designated as, or substantively serving as, the National Defense Authorization Act for Fiscal Year 2027 by authorizing national defense programs or defense policy for that fiscal year become law before
Before Nov 1, 2026 is priced at 16¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 16¢ bid, 17¢ ask, 1¢ spread. This outcome ranks #6 of 7 inside Will legislation designated as, or substantively serving as, the National Defense Authorization Act for Fiscal Year 2027 by authorizing national defense programs or defense policy for that fiscal year become law before.
Price history
16¢ current
−1¢Contract brief
If legislation designated as, or substantively serving as, the National Defense Authorization Act for Fiscal Year 2027 by authorizing national defense programs or defense policy for that fiscal year has become law after Issuance and before Nov 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Before Nov 1, 2026
Rank
#6 of 7
Leader
Before Feb 1, 2027 90¢
Range
4¢-90¢
Family volume
$1K
Identifier
KXNDAA-26JUL-26NOV01
Jul 11, 2026, 3:08 AM UTC · 31m ago
Implied probability
Bid
16¢
Ask
17¢
Spread
1¢
24h volume
$1K
Family rank
#6 of 7
7 outcomes · Will legislation designated as, or substantively serving as, the National Defense Authorization Act for Fiscal Year 2027 by authorizing national defense programs or defense policy for that fiscal year become law before
Closes
Nov 1, 2026
Family volume
$1K
Orderbook snapshot
16 / 17¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If legislation designated as, or substantively serving as, the National Defense Authorization Act for Fiscal Year 2027 by authorizing national defense programs or defense policy for that fiscal year has become law after Issuance and before Nov 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Nov 1, 2026
Identifier
KXNDAA-26JUL-26NOV01
Event family
Will legislation designated as, or substantively serving as, the National Defense Authorization Act for Fiscal Year 2027 by authorizing national defense programs or defense policy for that fiscal year become law before.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$1K
Outcomes
7
Highest price
Before Feb 1, 2027 90¢
Current share
90%
Before Feb 1, 2027
kalshi · KXNDAA-26JUL-27FEB01
Before Jan 1, 2027
kalshi · KXNDAA-26JUL-27JAN01
Before Dec 25, 2026
kalshi · KXNDAA-26JUL-26DEC25
Before Dec 15, 2026
kalshi · KXNDAA-26JUL-26DEC15
Before Dec 1, 2026
kalshi · KXNDAA-26JUL-26DEC01
Before Nov 1, 2026
kalshi · KXNDAA-26JUL-26NOV01
Before Oct 1, 2026
kalshi · KXNDAA-26JUL-26OCT01
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Full indicator table
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.