Before Mar 1, 2027 · Will legislation that increases the statutory limit on the public debt become law before
Before Mar 1, 2027 is priced at 27¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 26¢ bid, 33¢ ask, 7¢ spread. This outcome ranks #2 of 3 inside Will legislation that increases the statutory limit on the public debt become law before.
Price history
27¢ current
+9¢Contract brief
If legislation that increases the statutory limit on the public debt has become law after Issuance and before Mar 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Before Mar 1, 2027
Rank
#2 of 3
Leader
Before Jan 1, 2027 27¢
Range
3¢-27¢
Family volume
$32
Identifier
KXDEBTLIMITINCREASE-26JUL-27MAR01
Aug 10, 2026, 11:08 AM UTC · 4m ago
Implied probability
Bid
26¢
Ask
33¢
Spread
7¢
Reported volume
$341
Family rank
#2 of 3
3 outcomes · Will legislation that increases the statutory limit on the public debt become law before
Closes
Mar 1, 2027
Family volume
$32
Orderbook snapshot
26 / 33¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If legislation that increases the statutory limit on the public debt has become law after Issuance and before Mar 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Mar 1, 2027
Identifier
KXDEBTLIMITINCREASE-26JUL-27MAR01
Event family
Will legislation that increases the statutory limit on the public debt become law before.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$32
Outcomes
3
Highest price
Before Jan 1, 2027 27¢
Current share
0%
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Full indicator table
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.