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Before Nov 1, 2026 · Will legislation that, upon becoming law, completes, extends, or restores appropriations coverage across all 12 regular appropriations acts, whether temporarily or for the full fiscal year become law before

Before Nov 1, 2026 is priced at 97¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 91¢ bid, 96¢ ask, 5¢ spread. This outcome ranks #2 of 7 inside Will legislation that, upon becoming law, completes, extends, or restores appropriations coverage across all 12 regular appropriations acts, whether temporarily or for the full fiscal year become law before.

Price history

97¢ current

+48¢
50¢75¢100¢
Aug 4, 2026Aug 9, 2026

Contract brief

If legislation that, upon becoming law, completes, extends, or restores appropriations coverage across all 12 regular appropriations acts, whether temporarily or for the full fiscal year has become law after Issuance and before Nov 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Outcome

Before Nov 1, 2026

Rank

#2 of 7

Leader

Before Dec 1, 2026 95¢

Range

46¢-95¢

Family volume

$3K

Identifier

KXGOVTFULLFUND-26AUG-26NOV01

Aug 9, 2026, 11:08 AM UTC · 3m ago

Implied probability

97¢
Latest venue quote
Aug 9, 2026, 11:08 AM UTC · 3m ago

Bid

91¢

Ask

96¢

Spread

24h volume

$2K

Family rank

#2 of 7

7 outcomes · Will legislation that, upon becoming law, completes, extends, or restores appropriations coverage across all 12 regular appropriations acts, whether temporarily or for the full fiscal year become law before

Closes

Nov 1, 2026

Family volume

$3K

Orderbook snapshot

91 / 96¢

Kalshi
5¢ spread
BidSize
91¢24
90¢200
87¢25
86¢500
34¢310
AskSize
96¢18
97¢218
98¢200
99¢50

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

If legislation that, upon becoming law, completes, extends, or restores appropriations coverage across all 12 regular appropriations acts, whether temporarily or for the full fiscal year has become law after Issuance and before Nov 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Nov 1, 2026

Identifier

KXGOVTFULLFUND-26AUG-26NOV01

SF Signal
SF Index
2072.19
Regime
neutral

Event family

Will legislation that, upon becoming law, completes, extends, or restores appropriations coverage across all 12 regular appropriations acts, whether temporarily or for the full fiscal year become law before.

The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.

Total volume

$3K

Outcomes

7

Highest price

Before Dec 1, 2026 95¢

Current share

51%

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

42.9%

IY (No)

4385.1%

Adj IY

2072%

CRI

10

Overround

4.7%

LAS

0.05

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

42.9%
4385.1%
Adj IY
2072%
10
Overround
4.7%
LAS
0.05

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How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.