Before Nov 1, 2026 · Will legislation that, upon becoming law, completes, extends, or restores appropriations coverage across all 12 regular appropriations acts, whether temporarily or for the full fiscal year become law before
Before Nov 1, 2026 is priced at 97¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 91¢ bid, 96¢ ask, 5¢ spread. This outcome ranks #2 of 7 inside Will legislation that, upon becoming law, completes, extends, or restores appropriations coverage across all 12 regular appropriations acts, whether temporarily or for the full fiscal year become law before.
Price history
97¢ current
+48¢Contract brief
If legislation that, upon becoming law, completes, extends, or restores appropriations coverage across all 12 regular appropriations acts, whether temporarily or for the full fiscal year has become law after Issuance and before Nov 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Before Nov 1, 2026
Rank
#2 of 7
Leader
Before Dec 1, 2026 95¢
Range
46¢-95¢
Family volume
$3K
Identifier
KXGOVTFULLFUND-26AUG-26NOV01
Aug 9, 2026, 11:08 AM UTC · 3m ago
Implied probability
Bid
91¢
Ask
96¢
Spread
5¢
24h volume
$2K
Family rank
#2 of 7
7 outcomes · Will legislation that, upon becoming law, completes, extends, or restores appropriations coverage across all 12 regular appropriations acts, whether temporarily or for the full fiscal year become law before
Closes
Nov 1, 2026
Family volume
$3K
Orderbook snapshot
91 / 96¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If legislation that, upon becoming law, completes, extends, or restores appropriations coverage across all 12 regular appropriations acts, whether temporarily or for the full fiscal year has become law after Issuance and before Nov 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Nov 1, 2026
Identifier
KXGOVTFULLFUND-26AUG-26NOV01
Event family
Will legislation that, upon becoming law, completes, extends, or restores appropriations coverage across all 12 regular appropriations acts, whether temporarily or for the full fiscal year become law before.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$3K
Outcomes
7
Highest price
Before Dec 1, 2026 95¢
Current share
51%
Before Dec 1, 2026
kalshi · KXGOVTFULLFUND-26AUG-26DEC01
Before Nov 1, 2026
kalshi · KXGOVTFULLFUND-26AUG-26NOV01
Before Oct 16, 2026
kalshi · KXGOVTFULLFUND-26AUG-26OCT16
Before Oct 9, 2026
kalshi · KXGOVTFULLFUND-26AUG-26OCT09
Before Oct 2, 2026
kalshi · KXGOVTFULLFUND-26AUG-26OCT02
Before Oct 1, 2026
kalshi · KXGOVTFULLFUND-26AUG-26OCT01
Before Sep 26, 2026
kalshi · KXGOVTFULLFUND-26AUG-26SEP26
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Full indicator table
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Event Probability API
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Realtime Data API
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World State API
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.