Leinier Domínguez Pérez · KXCHESSOLYMPIADUSA-26
Leinier Domínguez Pérez is priced at 5¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 1¢ bid, 6¢ ask, 5¢ spread. This outcome ranks #9 of 13 inside KXCHESSOLYMPIADUSA-26.
Price history
5¢ current
−19¢Contract brief
If Leinier Domínguez Pérez is selected to the United States team for the 46th FIDE Chess Olympiad Open Tournament, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Leinier Domínguez Pérez
Rank
#9 of 13
Leader
John Donaldson 95¢
Range
1¢-95¢
Family volume
$7K
Identifier
KXCHESSOLYMPIADUSA-26-LDOM
Jun 25, 2026, 8:38 PM UTC · 1h ago
Implied probability
Bid
1¢
Ask
6¢
Spread
5¢
24h volume
$731
Family rank
#9 of 13
13 outcomes · KXCHESSOLYMPIADUSA-26
Closes
Sep 29, 2026
Family volume
$7K
Orderbook snapshot
1 / 6¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If Leinier Domínguez Pérez is selected to the United States team for the 46th FIDE Chess Olympiad Open Tournament, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Sep 29, 2026
Identifier
KXCHESSOLYMPIADUSA-26-LDOM
Event family
KXCHESSOLYMPIADUSA-26.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$7K
Outcomes
13
Highest price
John Donaldson 95¢
Current share
11%
John Donaldson
kalshi · KXCHESSOLYMPIADUSA-26-JDON
Fabiano Caruana
kalshi · KXCHESSOLYMPIADUSA-26-FCAR
Hans Niemann
kalshi · KXCHESSOLYMPIADUSA-26-HNIE
Levon Aronian
kalshi · KXCHESSOLYMPIADUSA-26-LARO
Wesley So
kalshi · KXCHESSOLYMPIADUSA-26-WSO
Awonder Liang
kalshi · KXCHESSOLYMPIADUSA-26-ALIA
Hikaru Nakamura
kalshi · KXCHESSOLYMPIADUSA-26-HNAK
Sam Shankland
kalshi · KXCHESSOLYMPIADUSA-26-SSHA
Leinier Domínguez Pérez
kalshi · KXCHESSOLYMPIADUSA-26-LDOM
Abhimanyu Mishra
kalshi · KXCHESSOLYMPIADUSA-26-AMIS
Grigoriy Oparin
kalshi · KXCHESSOLYMPIADUSA-26-GOPA
Jeffery Xiong
kalshi · KXCHESSOLYMPIADUSA-26-JXIO
Mikhail Antipov
kalshi · KXCHESSOLYMPIADUSA-26-MANT
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.432
Observability
medium
Event type
sports
Full indicator table
Odds pages
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.