Lil Baby · KXALBUMRELEASE-26
Lil Baby is priced at 34¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 34¢ bid, 46¢ ask, 12¢ spread. This outcome ranks #10 of 16 inside KXALBUMRELEASE-26.
Price history
34¢ current
−1¢Contract brief
If Lil Baby releases a new album in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Lil Baby
Rank
#10 of 16
Leader
Ariana Grande 98¢
Range
3¢-98¢
Family volume
$2K
Identifier
KXALBUMRELEASE-26-BAB
Jun 7, 2026, 9:38 PM UTC · 2m ago
Implied probability
Bid
34¢
Ask
46¢
Spread
12¢
Reported volume
$2K
Family rank
#10 of 16
16 outcomes · KXALBUMRELEASE-26
Closes
Jan 1, 2027
Family volume
$2K
Orderbook snapshot
34 / 46¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If Lil Baby releases a new album in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Jan 1, 2027
Identifier
KXALBUMRELEASE-26-BAB
Event family
KXALBUMRELEASE-26.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$2K
Outcomes
16
Highest price
Ariana Grande 98¢
Current share
0%
Ariana Grande
kalshi · KXALBUMRELEASE-26-ARI
KATSEYE
kalshi · KXALBUMRELEASE-26-KAT
Future
kalshi · KXALBUMRELEASE-26-FUT
Lana Del Rey
kalshi · KXALBUMRELEASE-26-LAN
Beyoncé
kalshi · KXALBUMRELEASE-26-BEY
EsDeeKid
kalshi · KXALBUMRELEASE-26-ESD
Taylor Swift
kalshi · KXALBUMRELEASE-26-TAY
Kendrick Lamar
kalshi · KXALBUMRELEASE-26-KEN
21 Savage
kalshi · KXALBUMRELEASE-26-21S
Jay-Z
kalshi · KXALBUMRELEASE-26-JAY
Eminem
kalshi · KXALBUMRELEASE-26-EMI
Lil Baby
kalshi · KXALBUMRELEASE-26-BAB
Playboi Carti
kalshi · KXALBUMRELEASE-26-PLA
Chappell Roan
kalshi · KXALBUMRELEASE-26-CHAP
Frank Ocean
kalshi · KXALBUMRELEASE-26-FRA
Billie Eilish
kalshi · KXALBUMRELEASE-26-BIL
Browse this series
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Full indicator table
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.