Lil Wayne · KXALBUMRELEASE-26
Lil Wayne is priced at 44¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 31¢ bid, 45¢ ask, 14¢ spread. This outcome ranks #11 of 16 inside KXALBUMRELEASE-26.
Price history
44¢ current
+14¢Contract brief
If Lil Wayne releases a new album in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Lil Wayne
Rank
#11 of 16
Leader
Ariana Grande 99¢
Range
3¢-99¢
Family volume
$671
Identifier
KXALBUMRELEASE-26-WAY
Jul 12, 2026, 3:09 AM UTC · 29m ago
Implied probability
Bid
31¢
Ask
45¢
Spread
14¢
Reported volume
$2K
Family rank
#11 of 16
16 outcomes · KXALBUMRELEASE-26
Closes
Jan 1, 2027
Family volume
$671
Orderbook snapshot
31 / 45¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If Lil Wayne releases a new album in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Jan 1, 2027
Identifier
KXALBUMRELEASE-26-WAY
Event family
KXALBUMRELEASE-26.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$671
Outcomes
16
Highest price
Ariana Grande 99¢
Current share
0%
Ariana Grande
kalshi · KXALBUMRELEASE-26-ARI
Alex Warren
kalshi · KXALBUMRELEASE-26-ALE
Beyoncé
kalshi · KXALBUMRELEASE-26-BEY
Nicki Minaj
kalshi · KXALBUMRELEASE-26-NIC
Kendrick Lamar
kalshi · KXALBUMRELEASE-26-KEN
2 Chainz
kalshi · KXALBUMRELEASE-26-2CH
Big Sean
kalshi · KXALBUMRELEASE-26-BIG
Lil Baby
kalshi · KXALBUMRELEASE-26-BAB
Anuel AA
kalshi · KXALBUMRELEASE-26-ANU
21 Savage
kalshi · KXALBUMRELEASE-26-21S
Eminem
kalshi · KXALBUMRELEASE-26-EMI
Lil Wayne
kalshi · KXALBUMRELEASE-26-WAY
Bad Bunny
kalshi · KXALBUMRELEASE-26-BAD
Addison Rae
kalshi · KXALBUMRELEASE-26-ADD
Migos
kalshi · KXALBUMRELEASE-26-MIG
Benson Boone
kalshi · KXALBUMRELEASE-26-BEN
Browse this series
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Full indicator table
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Event Probability API
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.