Nithya Raman and Xavier Becerra · Will Los Angeles Mayor
Nithya Raman and Xavier Becerra is priced at 36¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 30¢ bid, 35¢ ask, 5¢ spread. This outcome ranks #2 of 4 inside Will Los Angeles Mayor.
Price history
36¢ current
+33¢Contract brief
If ALL of the following occur for Nov 2026: Los Angeles Mayor: Nithya Raman wins, California Governor: Xavier Becerra wins, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Nithya Raman and Xavier Becerra
Rank
#2 of 4
Leader
Karen Bass and Xavier Becerra 55¢
Range
1¢-55¢
Family volume
$3
Identifier
KXCAGOVLAMAYOR-26NOV-RAM-BEC
Jun 25, 2026, 3:08 PM UTC · 21m ago
Implied probability
Bid
30¢
Ask
35¢
Spread
5¢
24h volume
$3
Family rank
#2 of 4
4 outcomes · Will Los Angeles Mayor
Closes
Nov 3, 2027
Family volume
$3
Orderbook snapshot
30 / 35¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If ALL of the following occur for Nov 2026: Los Angeles Mayor: Nithya Raman wins, California Governor: Xavier Becerra wins, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Nov 3, 2027
Identifier
KXCAGOVLAMAYOR-26NOV-RAM-BEC
Event family
Will Los Angeles Mayor.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$3
Outcomes
4
Highest price
Karen Bass and Xavier Becerra 55¢
Current share
100%
Karen Bass and Xavier Becerra
kalshi · KXCAGOVLAMAYOR-26NOV-BAS-BEC
Nithya Raman and Xavier Becerra
kalshi · KXCAGOVLAMAYOR-26NOV-RAM-BEC
Karen Bass and Steve Hilton
kalshi · KXCAGOVLAMAYOR-26NOV-BAS-HIL
Nithya Raman and Steve Hilton
kalshi · KXCAGOVLAMAYOR-26NOV-RAM-HIL
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Odds pages
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.