SimpleFunctions

Los Angeles R · KXNFL1SEED-NFC26

Los Angeles R is priced at 28¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 26¢ bid, 27¢ ask, 1¢ spread. This outcome ranks #1 of 11 inside KXNFL1SEED-NFC26.

Price history

28¢ current

+26¢
0¢25¢
Jun 19, 2026Jun 23, 2026

Contract brief

If Los Angeles R is the #1 seed in the National Football Conference at the conclusion of the 2026-2027 Pro Football regular season , then the market resolves to Yes.

Outcome

Los Angeles R

Rank

#1 of 11

Leader

Los Angeles R 26¢

Range

1¢-26¢

Family volume

$192

Identifier

KXNFL1SEED-NFC26-LAR

Jun 25, 2026, 4:08 AM UTC · 17m ago

Implied probability

28¢
Latest venue quote
Jun 25, 2026, 4:08 AM UTC · 17m ago

Bid

26¢

Ask

27¢

Spread

24h volume

$34

Family rank

#1 of 11

11 outcomes · KXNFL1SEED-NFC26

Closes

Jan 18, 2027

Family volume

$192

Orderbook snapshot

26 / 27¢

Kalshi
1¢ spread
BidSize
26¢3
25¢3.5K
23¢3.5K
22¢3.5K
9¢197
AskSize
27¢500
28¢3.5K
29¢183
30¢4.0K
31¢3.5K

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

If Los Angeles R is the #1 seed in the National Football Conference at the conclusion of the 2026-2027 Pro Football regular season , then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Jan 18, 2027

Identifier

KXNFL1SEED-NFC26-LAR

SF Signal
SF Index
240.74
Regime
neutral

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

500.8%

IY (No)

61.8%

Adj IY

241%

CRI

3

Overround

-0.1%

LAS

0.04

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

500.8%
61.8%
Adj IY
241%
3
Overround
-0.1%
LAS
0.04

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How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.