Los Angeles R win at least 8 games in the first 12 weeks
Los Angeles R: 8+ wins in first 12 weeks is priced at 60¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 53¢ bid, 63¢ ask, 10¢ spread. This outcome ranks #8 of 16 inside KXNFLWINSWEEK-26W12.
Price history
60¢ current
+17¢Contract brief
If the Los Angeles R Pro Football wins at least 8 games in the first 12 weeks of the Pro Football season, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Los Angeles R: 8+ wins in first 12 weeks
Rank
#8 of 16
Leader
Arizona: 10+ wins in first 12 weeks 98¢
Range
6¢-98¢
Family volume
$221
Identifier
KXNFLWINSWEEK-26W12-LAR8
Aug 25, 2026, 8:38 PM UTC · 13m ago
Implied probability
Bid
53¢
Ask
63¢
Spread
10¢
Reported volume
$2K
Family rank
#8 of 16
16 outcomes · KXNFLWINSWEEK-26W12
Closes
Dec 8, 2026
Family volume
$221
Orderbook snapshot
53 / 63¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If the Los Angeles R Pro Football wins at least 8 games in the first 12 weeks of the Pro Football season, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Dec 8, 2026
Identifier
KXNFLWINSWEEK-26W12-LAR8
Event family
KXNFLWINSWEEK-26W12.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$221
Outcomes
16
Highest price
Arizona: 10+ wins in first 12 weeks 98¢
Current share
0%
Arizona: 10+ wins in first 12 weeks
kalshi · KXNFLWINSWEEK-26W12-ARI10
San Francisco: 3+ wins in first 12 weeks
kalshi · KXNFLWINSWEEK-26W12-SF3
Atlanta: 1+ wins in first 12 weeks
kalshi · KXNFLWINSWEEK-26W12-ATL1
Atlanta: 2+ wins in first 12 weeks
kalshi · KXNFLWINSWEEK-26W12-ATL2
Arizona: 1+ wins in first 12 weeks
kalshi · KXNFLWINSWEEK-26W12-ARI1
Atlanta: 3+ wins in first 12 weeks
kalshi · KXNFLWINSWEEK-26W12-ATL3
Arizona: 2+ wins in first 12 weeks
kalshi · KXNFLWINSWEEK-26W12-ARI2
Los Angeles R: 8+ wins in first 12 weeks
kalshi · KXNFLWINSWEEK-26W12-LAR8
Cleveland: 4+ wins in first 12 weeks
kalshi · KXNFLWINSWEEK-26W12-CLE4
Washington: 5+ wins in first 12 weeks
kalshi · KXNFLWINSWEEK-26W12-WAS5
Minnesota: 6+ wins in first 12 weeks
kalshi · KXNFLWINSWEEK-26W12-MIN6
Arizona: 3+ wins in first 12 weeks
kalshi · KXNFLWINSWEEK-26W12-ARI3
Dallas: 8+ wins in first 12 weeks
kalshi · KXNFLWINSWEEK-26W12-DAL8
Green Bay: 8+ wins in first 12 weeks
kalshi · KXNFLWINSWEEK-26W12-GB8
Arizona: 4+ wins in first 12 weeks
kalshi · KXNFLWINSWEEK-26W12-ARI4
Arizona: 5+ wins in first 12 weeks
kalshi · KXNFLWINSWEEK-26W12-ARI5
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Full indicator table
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.