Lowest priced of the any MacBook model on Apple.com below $650 on November 27th, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET
below $650 is priced at 10¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 2¢ bid, 7¢ ask, 5¢ spread. This outcome ranks #3 of 7 inside Will lowest priced of the any MacBook model on Apple.com be below $.
Price history
10¢ current
−13¢Contract brief
If the lowest priced of the any MacBook model on Apple.com is below $650, on November 27th, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
below $650
Rank
#3 of 7
Leader
below $700 69¢
Range
1¢-69¢
Family volume
$0
Identifier
KXMACBOOKPRICE-26-650
Sep 15, 2026, 11:08 PM UTC · 13m ago
Implied probability
Bid
2¢
Ask
7¢
Spread
5¢
Reported volume
$4K
Family rank
#3 of 7
7 outcomes · Will lowest priced of the any MacBook model on Apple.com be below $
Closes
Feb 25, 2027
Family volume
$0
Orderbook snapshot
2 / 7¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If the lowest priced of the any MacBook model on Apple.com is below $650, on November 27th, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Feb 25, 2027
Identifier
KXMACBOOKPRICE-26-650
Event family
Will lowest priced of the any MacBook model on Apple.com be below $.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$0
Outcomes
7
Highest price
below $700 69¢
Current share
—
below $700
kalshi · KXMACBOOKPRICE-26-700
below $750
kalshi · KXMACBOOKPRICE-26-750
below $650
kalshi · KXMACBOOKPRICE-26-650
below $550
kalshi · KXMACBOOKPRICE-26-550
below $450
kalshi · KXMACBOOKPRICE-26-450
below $500
kalshi · KXMACBOOKPRICE-26-500
below $600
kalshi · KXMACBOOKPRICE-26-600
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
taker
Score
0.636
Observability
direct
Event type
financial
Full indicator table
Odds pages
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SimpleFunctions context
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Prediction Market Index
Market-wide volatility, geo risk, breadth, and activity around this contract.
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Event Probability API
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World State API
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.