SimpleFunctions

LSU · KXNCAAFGAME-26SEP05CLEMLSU

LSU is priced at 80¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 73¢ bid, 80¢ ask, 7¢ spread. This outcome ranks #1 of 2 inside KXNCAAFGAME-26SEP05CLEMLSU.

Price history

80¢ current

+15¢
60¢70¢80¢
Jun 12, 2026Jul 12, 2026

Contract brief

If LSU wins the Clemson vs LSU college football game originally scheduled for Sep 5, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Outcome

LSU

Rank

#1 of 2

Leader

LSU 73¢

Range

23¢-73¢

Family volume

$314

Identifier

KXNCAAFGAME-26SEP05CLEMLSU-LSU

Jul 12, 2026, 11:38 PM UTC · 18m ago

Implied probability

80¢
Latest venue quote
Jul 12, 2026, 11:38 PM UTC · 18m ago

Bid

73¢

Ask

80¢

Spread

24h volume

$62

Family rank

#1 of 2

2 outcomes · KXNCAAFGAME-26SEP05CLEMLSU

Closes

Sep 7, 2026

Family volume

$314

Orderbook snapshot

73 / 80¢

Kalshi
7¢ spread
BidSize
73¢19
72¢6
71¢682
70¢560
69¢500
AskSize
80¢25
83¢97
87¢1
89¢64
90¢1.8K

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

If LSU wins the Clemson vs LSU college football game originally scheduled for Sep 5, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Sep 7, 2026

Identifier

KXNCAAFGAME-26SEP05CLEMLSU-LSU

SF Signal
SF Index
865.75
Regime
neutral

Event family

KXNCAAFGAME-26SEP05CLEMLSU.

The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.

Total volume

$314

Outcomes

2

Highest price

LSU 73¢

Current share

20%

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

236.9%
1731.5%
Adj IY
866%
3

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How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.