Madison Chock · KXDWTSCAST-26OCT01
Madison Chock is priced at 13¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 4¢ bid, 9¢ ask, 5¢ spread. This outcome ranks #7 of 16 inside KXDWTSCAST-26OCT01.
Price history
13¢ current
−8¢Contract brief
If Madison Chock is officially announced to perform as an official contestant in Dancing with the Stars Season 35 before Oct 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Madison Chock
Rank
#7 of 16
Leader
Taylor Hanson 98¢
Range
1¢-98¢
Family volume
$3K
Identifier
KXDWTSCAST-26OCT01-MAD
Aug 25, 2026, 4:38 AM UTC · 28m ago
Implied probability
Bid
4¢
Ask
9¢
Spread
5¢
Reported volume
$814
Family rank
#7 of 16
16 outcomes · KXDWTSCAST-26OCT01
Closes
Oct 1, 2026
Family volume
$3K
Orderbook snapshot
4 / 9¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If Madison Chock is officially announced to perform as an official contestant in Dancing with the Stars Season 35 before Oct 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Oct 1, 2026
Identifier
KXDWTSCAST-26OCT01-MAD
Event family
KXDWTSCAST-26OCT01.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$3K
Outcomes
16
Highest price
Taylor Hanson 98¢
Current share
0%
Taylor Hanson
kalshi · KXDWTSCAST-26OCT01-TAYH
Jenna Dewan
kalshi · KXDWTSCAST-26OCT01-JEN
Giada De Laurentiis
kalshi · KXDWTSCAST-26OCT01-GIAD
Amber Glenn
kalshi · KXDWTSCAST-26OCT01-AMB
Livvy Dunne
kalshi · KXDWTSCAST-26OCT01-LIV
Donna Kelce
kalshi · KXDWTSCAST-26OCT01-DON
Madison Chock
kalshi · KXDWTSCAST-26OCT01-MAD
Brittany Cartwright
kalshi · KXDWTSCAST-26OCT01-BRI
Todd Chrisley
kalshi · KXDWTSCAST-26OCT01-TOD
Flavor Flav
kalshi · KXDWTSCAST-26OCT01-FLA
Ashanti
kalshi · KXDWTSCAST-26OCT01-ASH
Bow Wow
kalshi · KXDWTSCAST-26OCT01-BOW
Chloe Kim
kalshi · KXDWTSCAST-26OCT01-CHL
Cam Newton
kalshi · KXDWTSCAST-26OCT01-CAM
Rob Gronkowski
kalshi · KXDWTSCAST-26OCT01-ROB
Bart Johnson
kalshi · KXDWTSCAST-26OCT01-BAR
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
taker
Score
0.636
Observability
direct
Event type
cultural
Full indicator table
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.