MAGA Inc. report more than $350M in cash on hand at the end of Q3
Above $350M is priced at 74¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 81¢ bid, 82¢ ask, 1¢ spread. This outcome ranks #4 of 8 inside Will MAGA Inc. report more than $.
Price history
74¢ current
+2¢Contract brief
If MAGA Inc.'s cash on hand is above $350 million as of September 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Above $350M
Rank
#4 of 8
Leader
Above $275M 92¢
Range
22¢-92¢
Family volume
$390
Identifier
KXFUNDRAISING-MAGAQ326-A350000000
Jul 23, 2026, 8:38 PM UTC · 17m ago
Implied probability
Bid
81¢
Ask
82¢
Spread
1¢
Reported volume
$2
Family rank
#4 of 8
8 outcomes · Will MAGA Inc. report more than $
Closes
Oct 21, 2026
Family volume
$390
Orderbook snapshot
81 / 82¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If MAGA Inc.'s cash on hand is above $350 million as of September 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Oct 21, 2026
Identifier
KXFUNDRAISING-MAGAQ326-A350000000
Event family
Will MAGA Inc. report more than $.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$390
Outcomes
8
Highest price
Above $275M 92¢
Current share
0%
Above $275M
kalshi · KXFUNDRAISING-MAGAQ326-A275000000
Above $300M
kalshi · KXFUNDRAISING-MAGAQ326-A300000000
Above $325M
kalshi · KXFUNDRAISING-MAGAQ326-A325000000
Above $350M
kalshi · KXFUNDRAISING-MAGAQ326-A350000000
Above $375M
kalshi · KXFUNDRAISING-MAGAQ326-A375000000
Above $400M
kalshi · KXFUNDRAISING-MAGAQ326-A400000000
Above $425M
kalshi · KXFUNDRAISING-MAGAQ326-A425000000
Above $450M
kalshi · KXFUNDRAISING-MAGAQ326-A450000000
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Full indicator table
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SimpleFunctions context
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Prediction Market Index
Market-wide volatility, geo risk, breadth, and activity around this contract.
Market Screener
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Event Probability API
Read 74% as a structured event probability object for agents and apps.
Realtime Data API
Prices, orderbooks, movement, heat, and liquidity indicators across venues.
World State API
Compact market-aware context packets for agent sessions and scheduled refresh.
Hedging Workflows
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.