MAGA Inc.'s FEC-reported total disbursements value above 150000000 during calendar year 2026
Above 150 million dollars is priced at 48¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 45¢ bid, 49¢ ask, 4¢ spread. This outcome ranks #9 of 11 inside Will MAGA Inc.'s FEC-reported total disbursements value be above.
Price history
48¢ current
+5¢Contract brief
If MAGA Inc.'s FEC-reported total disbursements value is above 150 million dollars during calendar year 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Above 150 million dollars
Rank
#9 of 11
Leader
Above 15 million dollars 93¢
Range
18¢-93¢
Family volume
$3
Identifier
KXMAGAINCSPEND-26DEC31-A150000000
Sep 7, 2026, 11:08 AM UTC · 15m ago
Implied probability
Bid
45¢
Ask
49¢
Spread
4¢
Reported volume
$805
Family rank
#9 of 11
11 outcomes · Will MAGA Inc.'s FEC-reported total disbursements value be above
Closes
Feb 1, 2027
Family volume
$3
Orderbook snapshot
45 / 49¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If MAGA Inc.'s FEC-reported total disbursements value is above 150 million dollars during calendar year 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Feb 1, 2027
Identifier
KXMAGAINCSPEND-26DEC31-A150000000
Event family
Will MAGA Inc.'s FEC-reported total disbursements value be above.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$3
Outcomes
11
Highest price
Above 15 million dollars 93¢
Current share
0%
Above 15 million dollars
kalshi · KXMAGAINCSPEND-26DEC31-A15000000
Above 20 million dollars
kalshi · KXMAGAINCSPEND-26DEC31-A20000000
Above 25 million dollars
kalshi · KXMAGAINCSPEND-26DEC31-A25000000
Above 30 million dollars
kalshi · KXMAGAINCSPEND-26DEC31-A30000000
Above 40 million dollars
kalshi · KXMAGAINCSPEND-26DEC31-A40000000
Above 50 million dollars
kalshi · KXMAGAINCSPEND-26DEC31-A50000000
Above 75 million dollars
kalshi · KXMAGAINCSPEND-26DEC31-A75000000
Above 100 million dollars
kalshi · KXMAGAINCSPEND-26DEC31-A100000000
Above 150 million dollars
kalshi · KXMAGAINCSPEND-26DEC31-A150000000
Above 200 million dollars
kalshi · KXMAGAINCSPEND-26DEC31-A200000000
Above 300 million dollars
kalshi · KXMAGAINCSPEND-26DEC31-A300000000
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Full indicator table
Odds pages
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.