SimpleFunctions

Malik Nabers · KXNFLFFLEADERTOP-27WRT10

Malik Nabers is priced at 19¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 18¢ bid, 28¢ ask, 10¢ spread. This outcome ranks #7 of 16 inside KXNFLFFLEADERTOP-27WRT10.

Price history

19¢ current

34¢
0¢25¢50¢
Aug 21, 2026Aug 25, 2026

Contract brief

If Malik Nabers finishes top 10 in scoring among wide receivers for the 2026-27 Pro Football regular season, then the market resolves to Yes.

Outcome

Malik Nabers

Rank

#7 of 16

Leader

Amon-Ra St. Brown 50¢

Range

1¢-50¢

Family volume

$3K

Identifier

KXNFLFFLEADERTOP-27WRT10-MNABERS1

Aug 25, 2026, 5:38 PM UTC · 1m ago

Implied probability

19¢
Latest venue quote
Aug 25, 2026, 5:38 PM UTC · 1m ago

Bid

18¢

Ask

28¢

Spread

10¢

24h volume

$136

Family rank

#7 of 16

16 outcomes · KXNFLFFLEADERTOP-27WRT10

Closes

Jan 18, 2027

Family volume

$3K

Orderbook snapshot

18 / 28¢

Kalshi
10¢ spread
BidSize
18¢2
15¢150
14¢150
13¢150
8¢49
AskSize
28¢12
29¢150
30¢150
31¢150
44¢100

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

If Malik Nabers finishes top 10 in scoring among wide receivers for the 2026-27 Pro Football regular season, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Jan 18, 2027

Identifier

KXNFLFFLEADERTOP-27WRT10-MNABERS1

SF Signal
SF Index
656.74
Regime
neutral

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

1313.5%

IY (No)

47.7%

Adj IY

657%

CRI

5

Overround

6.4%

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

1313.5%
47.7%
Adj IY
657%
5
Overround
6.4%

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How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.