Malik Willis · KXNFLFFLEADERTOP-27QBT3
Malik Willis is priced at 9¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 9¢ bid, 60¢ ask, 51¢ spread. This outcome ranks #7 of 16 inside KXNFLFFLEADERTOP-27QBT3.
Price history
9¢ current
+5¢Contract brief
If Malik Willis finishes top 3 in scoring among quarterbacks for the 2026-27 Pro Football regular season, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Malik Willis
Rank
#7 of 16
Leader
Josh Allen 41¢
Range
3¢-41¢
Family volume
$15
Identifier
KXNFLFFLEADERTOP-27QBT3-MWILLIS2
Sep 12, 2026, 8:08 AM UTC · 6m ago
Implied probability
Bid
9¢
Ask
60¢
Spread
51¢
Reported volume
$555
Family rank
#7 of 16
16 outcomes · KXNFLFFLEADERTOP-27QBT3
Closes
Jan 18, 2027
Family volume
$15
Orderbook snapshot
9 / 60¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If Malik Willis finishes top 3 in scoring among quarterbacks for the 2026-27 Pro Football regular season, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Jan 18, 2027
Identifier
KXNFLFFLEADERTOP-27QBT3-MWILLIS2
Event family
KXNFLFFLEADERTOP-27QBT3.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$15
Outcomes
16
Highest price
Josh Allen 41¢
Current share
0%
Josh Allen
kalshi · KXNFLFFLEADERTOP-27QBT3-JALLEN17
Drake Maye
kalshi · KXNFLFFLEADERTOP-27QBT3-DMAYE10
Joe Burrow
kalshi · KXNFLFFLEADERTOP-27QBT3-JBURROW9
Jayden Daniels
kalshi · KXNFLFFLEADERTOP-27QBT3-JDANIELS5
Jalen Hurts
kalshi · KXNFLFFLEADERTOP-27QBT3-JHURTS1
Jaxson Dart
kalshi · KXNFLFFLEADERTOP-27QBT3-JDART6
Malik Willis
kalshi · KXNFLFFLEADERTOP-27QBT3-MWILLIS2
Caleb Williams
kalshi · KXNFLFFLEADERTOP-27QBT3-CWILLIAMS18
Fernando Mendoza
kalshi · KXNFLFFLEADERTOP-27QBT3-FMENDOZA15
Justin Herbert
kalshi · KXNFLFFLEADERTOP-27QBT3-JHERBERT10
Jared Goff
kalshi · KXNFLFFLEADERTOP-27QBT3-JGOFF16
Bo Nix
kalshi · KXNFLFFLEADERTOP-27QBT3-BNIX10
Brock Purdy
kalshi · KXNFLFFLEADERTOP-27QBT3-BPURDY13
Dak Prescott
kalshi · KXNFLFFLEADERTOP-27QBT3-DPRESCOTT4
Jordan Love
kalshi · KXNFLFFLEADERTOP-27QBT3-JLOVE10
Kyler Murray
kalshi · KXNFLFFLEADERTOP-27QBT3-KMURRAY1
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Full indicator table
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SimpleFunctions context
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Prediction Market Index
Market-wide volatility, geo risk, breadth, and activity around this contract.
Market Screener
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Event Probability API
Read 9% as a structured event probability object for agents and apps.
Realtime Data API
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World State API
Compact market-aware context packets for agent sessions and scheduled refresh.
Hedging Workflows
Map a thesis or exposure to candidate event markets and monitoring paths.
How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.