SimpleFunctions

Jalen Hurts · KXNFLFFLEADERTOP-27QBT3

Jalen Hurts is priced at 71¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 12¢ bid, 23¢ ask, 11¢ spread. This outcome ranks #5 of 16 inside KXNFLFFLEADERTOP-27QBT3.

Price history

71¢ current

+69¢
0¢25¢50¢75¢
Aug 24, 2026Sep 18, 2026

Contract brief

If Jalen Hurts finishes top 3 in scoring among quarterbacks for the 2026-27 Pro Football regular season, then the market resolves to Yes.

Outcome

Jalen Hurts

Rank

#5 of 16

Leader

Josh Allen 57¢

Range

3¢-57¢

Family volume

$555

Identifier

KXNFLFFLEADERTOP-27QBT3-JHURTS1

Sep 19, 2026, 10:38 AM UTC · 19m ago

Implied probability

71¢
Latest venue quote
Sep 19, 2026, 10:38 AM UTC · 19m ago

Bid

12¢

Ask

23¢

Spread

11¢

Reported volume

$648

Family rank

#5 of 16

16 outcomes · KXNFLFFLEADERTOP-27QBT3

Closes

Jan 18, 2027

Family volume

$555

Orderbook snapshot

12 / 23¢

Kalshi
11¢ spread
BidSize
12¢551
AskSize
23¢550
38¢100
79¢1.2K
80¢10
97¢14

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

If Jalen Hurts finishes top 3 in scoring among quarterbacks for the 2026-27 Pro Football regular season, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Jan 18, 2027

Identifier

KXNFLFFLEADERTOP-27QBT3-JHURTS1

SF Signal
SF Index
92.00
Regime
neutral

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

2208.8%

IY (No)

41.1%

Adj IY

92%

CRI

7

Overround

1.5%

LAS

0.92

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

2208.8%
41.1%
Adj IY
92%
7
Overround
1.5%
LAS
0.92

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How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.