Margo Martin · KXNEXTPRESSEC-29JAN21
Margo Martin is priced at 5¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 5¢ bid, 6¢ ask, 1¢ spread. This outcome ranks #3 of 16 inside KXNEXTPRESSEC-29JAN21.
Price history
5¢ current
+3¢Contract brief
If the first new person to become White House Press Secretary after Issuance is Margo Martin, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Margo Martin
Rank
#3 of 16
Leader
Scott Jennings 39¢
Range
1¢-39¢
Family volume
$128K
Identifier
KXNEXTPRESSEC-29JAN21-MMAR
Aug 23, 2026, 5:08 PM UTC · 8m ago
Implied probability
Bid
5¢
Ask
6¢
Spread
1¢
24h volume
$7K
Family rank
#3 of 16
16 outcomes · KXNEXTPRESSEC-29JAN21
Closes
Jan 21, 2029
Family volume
$128K
Orderbook snapshot
5 / 6¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If the first new person to become White House Press Secretary after Issuance is Margo Martin, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Jan 21, 2029
Identifier
KXNEXTPRESSEC-29JAN21-MMAR
Event family
KXNEXTPRESSEC-29JAN21.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$128K
Outcomes
16
Highest price
Scott Jennings 39¢
Current share
6%
Scott Jennings
kalshi · KXNEXTPRESSEC-29JAN21-SJEN
Anna Kelly
kalshi · KXNEXTPRESSEC-29JAN21-AKEL
Margo Martin
kalshi · KXNEXTPRESSEC-29JAN21-MMAR
Natalie Harp
kalshi · KXNEXTPRESSEC-29JAN21-NHAR
Steven Cheung
kalshi · KXNEXTPRESSEC-29JAN21-SCHE
Elizabeth Pipko
kalshi · KXNEXTPRESSEC-29JAN21-EPIP
Alina Habba
kalshi · KXNEXTPRESSEC-29JAN21-AHAB
No new person
kalshi · KXNEXTPRESSEC-29JAN21-NNP
Kari Lake
kalshi · KXNEXTPRESSEC-29JAN21-KLAK
Tricia McLaughlin
kalshi · KXNEXTPRESSEC-29JAN21-TMCL
Monica Crowley
kalshi · KXNEXTPRESSEC-29JAN21-MCRO
Katie Miller
kalshi · KXNEXTPRESSEC-29JAN21-KMIL
Erika Kirk
kalshi · KXNEXTPRESSEC-29JAN21-EKIR
Liz Huston
kalshi · KXNEXTPRESSEC-29JAN21-LHUS
Spencer Pratt
kalshi · KXNEXTPRESSEC-29JAN21-SPRA
Matthew Boyle
kalshi · KXNEXTPRESSEC-29JAN21-MBOY
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Full indicator table
Odds pages
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.