Matt Olson · KXMLBALLSTAR-26NL
Matt Olson is priced at 89¢ midpoint on Kalshi. Current book: 84¢ bid, 94¢ ask, 10¢ spread. This outcome ranks #4 of 16 inside KXMLBALLSTAR-26NL.
Price history
89¢ current
+5¢Contract brief
If Matt Olson is selected to the 2026 National League All-Star Team, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Matt Olson
Rank
#4 of 16
Leader
Max Muncy 87¢
Range
2¢-87¢
Family volume
$1K
Identifier
KXMLBALLSTAR-26NL-MOLSON28
Jun 26, 2026, 3:08 AM UTC · 4m ago
Implied probability
Bid
84¢
Ask
94¢
Spread
10¢
Reported volume
$0
Family rank
#4 of 16
16 outcomes · KXMLBALLSTAR-26NL
Closes
Jul 15, 2026
Family volume
$1K
Orderbook snapshot
84 / 94¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If Matt Olson is selected to the 2026 National League All-Star Team, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Jul 15, 2026
Identifier
KXMLBALLSTAR-26NL-MOLSON28
Event family
KXMLBALLSTAR-26NL.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$1K
Outcomes
16
Highest price
Max Muncy 87¢
Current share
0%
Max Muncy
kalshi · KXMLBALLSTAR-26NL-MMUNCY13
Corbin Carroll
kalshi · KXMLBALLSTAR-26NL-CCARROLL7
Drake Baldwin
kalshi · KXMLBALLSTAR-26NL-DBALDWIN30
Matt Olson
kalshi · KXMLBALLSTAR-26NL-MOLSON28
Freddie Freeman
kalshi · KXMLBALLSTAR-26NL-FFREEMAN5
Brice Turang
kalshi · KXMLBALLSTAR-26NL-BTURANG2
Max Meyer
kalshi · KXMLBALLSTAR-26NL-MMEYER23
Justin Wrobleski
kalshi · KXMLBALLSTAR-26NL-JWROBLESKI70
Ronald Acuña Jr.
kalshi · KXMLBALLSTAR-26NL-RACUNA13
Brandon Lowe
kalshi · KXMLBALLSTAR-26NL-BLOWE5
Casey Schmitt
kalshi · KXMLBALLSTAR-26NL-CSCHMITT10
Xavier Edwards
kalshi · KXMLBALLSTAR-26NL-XEDWARDS9
Bryce Elder
kalshi · KXMLBALLSTAR-26NL-BELDER55
Mookie Betts
kalshi · KXMLBALLSTAR-26NL-MBETTS50
Hunter Goodman
kalshi · KXMLBALLSTAR-26NL-HGOODMAN15
Alex Bregman
kalshi · KXMLBALLSTAR-26NL-ABREGMAN3
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Full indicator table
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SimpleFunctions context
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Prediction Market Index
Market-wide volatility, geo risk, breadth, and activity around this contract.
Market Screener
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Event Probability API
Read 89% as a structured event probability object for agents and apps.
Realtime Data API
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World State API
Compact market-aware context packets for agent sessions and scheduled refresh.
Hedging Workflows
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.