Matthew Stafford · KXNFLT100-26R1
Matthew Stafford is priced at 9¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 15¢ bid, 16¢ ask, 1¢ spread. This outcome ranks #3 of 14 inside KXNFLT100-26R1.
Price history
9¢ current
+3¢Contract brief
If Matthew Stafford is ranked #1 on the NFL Top 100 List in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Matthew Stafford
Rank
#3 of 14
Leader
Will Anderson Jr. 83¢
Range
1¢-83¢
Family volume
$100
Identifier
KXNFLT100-26R1-MSTAFFORD9
Aug 1, 2026, 9:08 AM UTC · 3m ago
Implied probability
Bid
15¢
Ask
16¢
Spread
1¢
Reported volume
$1K
Family rank
#3 of 14
14 outcomes · KXNFLT100-26R1
Closes
Sep 9, 2026
Family volume
$100
Orderbook snapshot
15 / 16¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If Matthew Stafford is ranked #1 on the NFL Top 100 List in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Sep 9, 2026
Identifier
KXNFLT100-26R1-MSTAFFORD9
Event family
KXNFLT100-26R1.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$100
Outcomes
14
Highest price
Will Anderson Jr. 83¢
Current share
0%
Will Anderson Jr.
kalshi · KXNFLT100-26R1-WANDERSON51
Myles Garrett
kalshi · KXNFLT100-26R1-MGARRETT95
Matthew Stafford
kalshi · KXNFLT100-26R1-MSTAFFORD9
Patrick Mahomes
kalshi · KXNFLT100-26R1-PMAHOMES15
Jaxon Smith-Njigba
kalshi · KXNFLT100-26R1-JSMITHNJIGBA11
Josh Allen
kalshi · KXNFLT100-26R1-JALLEN17
Brock Bowers
kalshi · KXNFLT100-26R1-BBOWERS89
Caleb Williams
kalshi · KXNFLT100-26R1-CWILLIAMS18
Derwin James Jr.
kalshi · KXNFLT100-26R1-DJAMES3
Drake Maye
kalshi · KXNFLT100-26R1-DMAYE10
Ja'Marr Chase
kalshi · KXNFLT100-26R1-JCHASE1
Lamar Jackson
kalshi · KXNFLT100-26R1-LJACKSON8
Penei Sewell
kalshi · KXNFLT100-26R1-PSEWELL58
Pat Surtain II
kalshi · KXNFLT100-26R1-PSURTAIN2
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Full indicator table
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SimpleFunctions context
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Prediction Market Index
Market-wide volatility, geo risk, breadth, and activity around this contract.
Market Screener
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Event Probability API
Read 9% as a structured event probability object for agents and apps.
Realtime Data API
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World State API
Compact market-aware context packets for agent sessions and scheduled refresh.
Hedging Workflows
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.