SimpleFunctions

Meta Platforms, Inc. report above 77000 Headcount in 2026

Above 77000 is priced at 19¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 9¢ bid, 18¢ ask, 9¢ spread. This outcome ranks #5 of 5 inside Will Meta Platforms, Inc. report above.

Price history

19¢ current

15¢20¢
Aug 16, 2026Aug 16, 2026

Contract brief

If Meta Platforms, Inc. reports above 77000 Headcount in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Outcome

Above 77000

Rank

#5 of 5

Leader

Above 65000 86¢

Range

9¢-86¢

Family volume

$0

Identifier

KXMETAA-28JANHEAD-77000

Aug 16, 2026, 4:38 AM UTC · 3m ago

Implied probability

19¢
Latest venue quote
Aug 16, 2026, 4:38 AM UTC · 3m ago

Bid

Ask

18¢

Spread

Reported volume

$12K

Family rank

#5 of 5

5 outcomes · Will Meta Platforms, Inc. report above

Closes

Mar 31, 2028

Family volume

$0

Orderbook snapshot

9 / 18¢

Kalshi
9¢ spread
BidSize
9¢221
AskSize
19¢214
76¢285
77¢539
99¢50

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

If Meta Platforms, Inc. reports above 77000 Headcount in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Mar 31, 2028

Identifier

KXMETAA-28JANHEAD-77000

SF Signal
SF Index
310.95
Regime
neutral

Event family

Will Meta Platforms, Inc. report above.

The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.

Total volume

$0

Outcomes

5

Highest price

Above 65000 86¢

Current share

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

621.9%

IY (No)

6.1%

Adj IY

311%

CRI

10

Overround

1.7%

Regime

neutral

Score

0.568

Observability

high

Event type

financial

Full indicator table

621.9%
6.1%
Adj IY
311%
10
Overround
1.7%

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How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.