SimpleFunctions

Meta Platforms, Inc. report above 65000 Headcount in 2026

Above 65000 is priced at 95¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 94¢ bid, 95¢ ask, 1¢ spread. This outcome ranks #1 of 5 inside Will Meta Platforms, Inc. report above.

Price history

95¢ current

+2¢
90¢95¢
Jun 24, 2026Jun 24, 2026

Contract brief

If Meta Platforms, Inc. reports above 65000 Headcount in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Outcome

Above 65000

Rank

#1 of 5

Leader

Above 65000 94¢

Range

14¢-94¢

Family volume

$11K

Identifier

KXMETAA-28JANHEAD-65000

Jun 25, 2026, 3:08 PM UTC · 2m ago

Implied probability

95¢
Latest venue quote
Jun 25, 2026, 3:08 PM UTC · 2m ago

Bid

94¢

Ask

95¢

Spread

24h volume

$3K

Family rank

#1 of 5

5 outcomes · Will Meta Platforms, Inc. report above

Closes

Mar 31, 2028

Family volume

$11K

Orderbook snapshot

94 / 95¢

Kalshi
1¢ spread
BidSize
94¢4.2K
93¢411
92¢500
53¢20
52¢282
AskSize
95¢3.2K
96¢2.0K
97¢600
98¢888
99¢9.3K

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

If Meta Platforms, Inc. reports above 65000 Headcount in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Mar 31, 2028

Identifier

KXMETAA-28JANHEAD-65000

SF Signal
SF Index
438.59
Regime
neutral

Event family

Will Meta Platforms, Inc. report above.

The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.

Total volume

$11K

Outcomes

5

Highest price

Above 65000 94¢

Current share

26%

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

3.6%

IY (No)

886.6%

Adj IY

439%

CRI

16

Overround

2.2%

LAS

0.01

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

3.6%
886.6%
Adj IY
439%
16
Overround
2.2%
LAS
0.01

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How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.