Michael Wacha · KXMLBALCY-26
Michael Wacha is priced at 1¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 0¢ bid, 1¢ ask, 1¢ spread. This outcome ranks #9 of 16 inside KXMLBALCY-26.
Price history
1¢ current
Contract brief
If Michael Wacha wins the Pro Baseball American League Cy Young in the 2026 season, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Michael Wacha
Rank
#9 of 16
Leader
Cam Schlittler 34¢
Range
1¢-34¢
Family volume
$16K
Identifier
KXMLBALCY-26-MWAC
May 25, 2026, 10:20 AM UTC · 0m ago
Implied probability
Bid
0¢
Ask
1¢
Spread
1¢
Reported volume
$7K
Family rank
#9 of 16
16 outcomes · KXMLBALCY-26
Closes
Dec 8, 2026
Family volume
$16K
Orderbook snapshot
0 / 1¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If Michael Wacha wins the Pro Baseball American League Cy Young in the 2026 season, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Dec 8, 2026
Identifier
KXMLBALCY-26-MWAC
Event family
KXMLBALCY-26.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$16K
Outcomes
16
Highest price
Cam Schlittler 34¢
Current share
0%
Cam Schlittler
kalshi · KXMLBALCY-26-CSCH
Dylan Cease
kalshi · KXMLBALCY-26-DCEA
Gavin Williams
kalshi · KXMLBALCY-26-GWIL
Tarik Skubal
kalshi · KXMLBALCY-26-TSKU
Drew Rasmussen
kalshi · KXMLBALCY-26-DRAS
Joe Ryan
kalshi · KXMLBALCY-26-JRYA
Kevin Gausman
kalshi · KXMLBALCY-26-KGAU
Will Parker Messick win AL Cy Young: Parker Messick
kalshi · KXMLBALCY-26-PMES
Bryan Woo
kalshi · KXMLBALCY-26-BWOO
Michael Wacha
kalshi · KXMLBALCY-26-MWAC
Aroldis Chapman
kalshi · KXMLBALCY-26-ACHA
Brayan Bello
kalshi · KXMLBALCY-26-BBEL
Bryce Miller
kalshi · KXMLBALCY-26-BMIL
Casey Mize
kalshi · KXMLBALCY-26-CMIZ
Cole Ragans
kalshi · KXMLBALCY-26-CRAG
Carlos Rodon
kalshi · KXMLBALCY-26-CROD
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
taker
Score
0.636
Observability
direct
Event type
sports
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.