Mike Lee · KXSVOTECLARITY-MAY26
Mike Lee is priced at 26¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 22¢ bid, 27¢ ask, 5¢ spread. This outcome ranks #2 of 12 inside KXSVOTECLARITY-MAY26.
Price history
26¢ current
−40¢Contract brief
If Mike Lee votes for a crypto market structure bill (as defined in KXCRYPTOSTRUCTURE) in the Senate before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Mike Lee
Rank
#2 of 12
Leader
Ruben Gallego 36¢
Range
6¢-36¢
Family volume
$55
Identifier
KXSVOTECLARITY-MAY26-MLEE
Aug 9, 2026, 8:08 AM UTC · 6m ago
Implied probability
Bid
22¢
Ask
27¢
Spread
5¢
Reported volume
$3K
Family rank
#2 of 12
12 outcomes · KXSVOTECLARITY-MAY26
Closes
Jan 1, 2027
Family volume
$55
Orderbook snapshot
22 / 27¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If Mike Lee votes for a crypto market structure bill (as defined in KXCRYPTOSTRUCTURE) in the Senate before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Jan 1, 2027
Identifier
KXSVOTECLARITY-MAY26-MLEE
Event family
KXSVOTECLARITY-MAY26.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$55
Outcomes
12
Highest price
Ruben Gallego 36¢
Current share
0%
Ruben Gallego
kalshi · KXSVOTECLARITY-MAY26-RGAL
Mike Lee
kalshi · KXSVOTECLARITY-MAY26-MLEE
Jerry Moran
kalshi · KXSVOTECLARITY-MAY26-JMOR
Angela Alsobrooks
kalshi · KXSVOTECLARITY-MAY26-AALS
Mark Warner
kalshi · KXSVOTECLARITY-MAY26-MWAR
Kirsten Gillibrand
kalshi · KXSVOTECLARITY-MAY26-KGIL
Catherine Cortez Masto
kalshi · KXSVOTECLARITY-MAY26-CMAS
Lisa Blunt Rochester
kalshi · KXSVOTECLARITY-MAY26-LROC
Raphael Warnock
kalshi · KXSVOTECLARITY-MAY26-RWAR
Josh Hawley
kalshi · KXSVOTECLARITY-MAY26-JHAW
Andy Kim
kalshi · KXSVOTECLARITY-MAY26-AKIM
Rand Paul
kalshi · KXSVOTECLARITY-MAY26-RPAU
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Full indicator table
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.